Match Info

Primera Nacional - Round 9

Date: 12 April 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Arquitecto Ricardo Etcheverry (Buenos Aires)


	Ferro Carril Oeste		Estudiantes de Caseros

	1	X	2
	2.2	2.7	3.8	Watch
	2.3	2.68	3.55	Watch
	2.26	2.87	3.96
	2.37	2.73	3.63	Watch
	2.2	2.63	3.8
	2.26	2.75	3.81	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.27 ↓ (2.4)	2.73 ↑ (2.7)	3.76 ↑ (3.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ferro Carril Oeste
41.1%

Draw
34.1%

Estudiantes de Caseros
24.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39%

34.6%

26.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.2%

34.4%

26.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ferro Carril Oeste has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Estudiantes de Caseros has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ferro Carril Oeste than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Estudiantes de Caseros than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	25%	50%

Ferro Carril Oeste - Estudiantes de Caseros Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Ferro Carril will win (votes: 1 - 25%). CA Estudiantes will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. CA Estudiantes (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Monetti F. (G) 4. Nazareno K. 6. Zubowicz M. 2. Tevez F. 3. Canto G. 5. Olguin G. 8. Gomez N. 11. Ozuna E. 9. Garcia F. 10. Hoyos E. 7. Dening E.	1. Campisi N. (G) 4. Bernardi B. 2. Benitez J. 6. Quinteros F. 3. Squie T. 7. Ardiles F. 5. Melo R. 8. Sena F. 10. Correa J. 9. Rostagno D. 11. Acosta E.
Substitutes
20. Acosta M. 17. Castellani G. 13. Corda S. 16. Kabalin M. 14. Marra L. 18. Menendez J. 15. Obradovich F. 19. Parisi L. 12. Ruiz L. (G)	13. Albarracin M. 16. Camacho S. 17. Degregorio B. 14. Dure F. 20. Lucero J. 18. Melo A. 19. Salas T. 15. Sanchez de Leon M. 12. Vila F. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
11', 0 - 1, Rostagno D. ⚽,
17', Zubowicz M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Gomez N. ↓, Obradovich F. ↑,
46', Dening E. ↓, Acosta M. ↑,
46', Squie T. ↓, Albarracin M. ↑,
46', Acosta E. ↓, Salas T. ↑,
64', Correa J. ↓, Degregorio B. ↑,
64', Rostagno D. ↓, Lucero J. ↑,
69', Olguin G. ↓, Kabalin M. ↑,
69', Hoyos E. ↓, Parisi L. ↑,
74', Bernardi B. ↓, Dure F. ↑,
90+3', Nazareno K. 🟨,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 9 and 16).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ferro Carril won 2.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Ferro Carril may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Ferro Carril has had a series of away games.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Ferro Carril won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:9. (average 1.1:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Ferro Carril won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:6. (average 1:1.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Estudiantes de Caseros - the odds 3.54 are the expected chance of winning is 26.41%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ferro Carril Oeste
Argentinian Primera Nacional
04.04.26	All Boys - Ferro Carril Oeste	0:0 ✺
28.03.26	Atlanta Buenos Aires - Ferro Carril Oeste	0:1 ✺
21.03.26	Ferro Carril Oeste - Los Andes	0:2 ✺
14.03.26	Godoy Cruz - Ferro Carril Oeste	2:1 ✺
28.02.26	Colón - Ferro Carril Oeste	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 TWLLT
- CA Estudiantes de Caseros
Argentinian Primera Nacional
04.04.26	Estudiantes de Caseros - Central Norte	1:0 ✺
29.03.26	Chacarita Juniors - Estudiantes de Caseros	0:3 ✺
21.03.26	Deportivo Madryn - Estudiantes de Caseros	3:0 ✺
14.03.26	Estudiantes de Caseros - Defensores de Belgrano	0:2 ✺
01.03.26	Estudiantes de Caseros - Almirante Brown	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
23.06.24	Ferro Carril Oeste - Estudiantes de Caseros	2:2
03.02.24	Estudiantes de Caseros - Ferro Carril Oeste	1:0
09.07.23	Estudiantes de Caseros - Ferro Carril Oeste	1:2
04.03.23	Ferro Carril Oeste - Estudiantes de Caseros	0:2
04.06.22	Estudiantes de Caseros - Ferro Carril Oeste	1:2
10.01.21	Ferro Carril Oeste - Estudiantes de Caseros	1:2
21.10.19	Ferro Carril Oeste - Estudiantes de Caseros	1:0

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