Match Info

Date: 7 November 2020, Saturday


	Estudiantes de Mérida		Atlético Venezuela

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.2	3.2
	2.05	3.2	3.2
	2	3.1	3.3
	2.02	3.25	3.2
	2.01	3.24	3.2
	2.05	3.25	3.25
	2.08	3.5	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.04 ↓ (2.05)	3.25 ↑ (3.18)	3.24 ↑ (3.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Estudiantes de Mérida
44.3%

Draw
27.8%

Atlético Venezuela
27.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.7%

28.1%

28.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.9%

21.2%

21.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Estudiantes de Mérida has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Atlético Venezuela has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Estudiantes de Mérida than the current prediction. (+13.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Estudiantes de Mérida, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Venezuela than the current prediction. (-6.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Atlético Venezuela, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Estudiantes de Mérida - Atlético Venezuela Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 7 and 8).

Estudiantes de Mérida is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Atlético Venezuela is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Atlético Venezuela could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Estudiantes de Mérida will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 16 head-to-head matches Estudiantes de Mérida won 6 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 17-20.

Including matches at home between the teams Estudiantes de Mérida won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 10-9.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Estudiantes de Mérida
Copa Sudamericana
05.11.20	Estudiantes de Mérida - Coquimbo Unido	0:2 ✺
Venezuelan Primera Division
03.11.20	Estudiantes de Mérida - Deportivo Lara	0:1 ✺
31.10.20	Mineros de Guayana - Estudiantes de Mérida	2:3 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
29.10.20	Coquimbo Unido - Estudiantes de Mérida	3:0 ✺
Venezuelan Primera Division
27.10.20	Estudiantes de Mérida - Deportivo La Guaira	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LLWLL
- Atlético Venezuela
Venezuelan Primera Division
01.11.20	Atlético Venezuela - Trujillanos	1:0 ✺
28.10.20	Yaracuyanos - Atlético Venezuela	4:2 ✺
24.10.20	Atlético Venezuela - Academia Puerto Cabello	2:2 ✺
21.10.20	Carabobo - Atlético Venezuela	0:0 ✺
18.10.20	Atlético Venezuela - Deportivo Lara	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WLTTL

Latest Head to Head

Venezuelan Primera Division
08.03.20	Estudiantes de Mérida - Atlético Venezuela	2:1
06.10.19	Estudiantes de Mérida - Atlético Venezuela	1:0
14.04.19	Atlético Venezuela - Estudiantes de Mérida	1:1
21.10.18	Estudiantes de Mérida - Atlético Venezuela	3:1
13.05.18	Atlético Venezuela - Estudiantes de Mérida	4:0
29.10.17	Atlético Venezuela - Estudiantes de Mérida	1:1
21.05.17	Estudiantes de Mérida - Atlético Venezuela	1:1

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