The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Estudiantes de Mérida 26.6%
Draw 30.5%
Deportivo La Guaira 42.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
26.3%
29.4%
44.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
26.1%
29.1%
44.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Estudiantes de Mérida has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
Deportivo La Guaira has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Estudiantes de Mérida than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo La Guaira than the current prediction. (+1.8%)
Estudiantes de Mérida - Deportivo La Guaira Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Rojas T. (C) 25. Acosta H. 44. Caicedo L. 4. Rodriguez C. 20. Montilla Maldonado J. A. 16. Lobo J. 5. Ramirez Holguin W. S. 11. Montero A. 14. Ivey R. 9. Quejada K. 17. Magallan C.
1. Varela C. (G) 16. Martinez L. 4. Rivero C. (C) 3. Osio D. 20. Gutierrez J. 6. Faya C. 27. Correa J. 77. Arace R. 36. Londono F. 7. Meza J. 9. Uribe A.
Substitutes
35. Ajam Elias 7. Albarran E. 26. Azocar J. 8. D'Agostino A. 21. Flores A. 2. Gutierez J. 13. Maldonado M. 3. Marquez J. 28. Paez M. 15. Rivas C. 18. Rivera B. 12. Roberts E. (G)
19. Ascanio G. 14. Da Silva C. 5. Gianoli M. 15. Gonzalez M. 33. Hernandez N. 2. Morales B. 25. Paredes J. 8. Perdomo J. 21. Rodriguez A. 12. Sanchez J. (G) 22. Sulbaran M. 11. Vargas J.
Coaches
Gomez J.
Bidoglio H.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
18', Montero A. 🟨,
33', Rojas T. 🟥,
37', Montero A. ↓, Roberts E. ↑,
42', Arace R. 🟨,
45+4', Rivero C. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Arace R. ↓, Vargas J. ↑,
46', Lobo J. ↓, Rivas C. ↑,
57', Acosta H. 🟨,
59', Martinez L. ↓, Hernandez N. ↑,
59', Uribe A. ↓, Sulbaran M. ↑,
65', Rivas C. 🟨,
70', Magallan C. ↓, Azocar J. ↑,
74', Meza J. ↓, Rodriguez A. ↑,
74', Faya C. ↓, Gonzalez M. ↑,
75', Montilla Maldonado J. A. 🟨,
83', Montilla Maldonado J. A. ↓, Rivera B. ↑,
83', Quejada K. ↓, Ajam Elias ↑,
88', 0 - 1, Rodriguez A. ⚽, Sulbaran M. (A),
90+1', Vargas J. 🟨,
Preview
The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga FUTVE (Apertura ~ Quadrangular: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga FUTVE (Apertura ~ Quadrangular: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Est de Mérida won 0.
Recent performances by Est de Mérida have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Deportivo La Guaira is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
In this match, Deportivo La Guaira is considered a favorite.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Est de Mérida won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 24:30. (average 1.2:1.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Est de Mérida won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 15:15. (average 1.5:1.5).
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Rojas T. (C) 
Caicedo L. 
Ivey R. 
Quejada K. 
Gianoli M. 
Rodriguez A. 
