Match Info

Date: 27 March 2022, Sunday


	Estudiantes de Mérida		Deportivo Lara

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.25	3	2.87	Watch
	2.43	3.05	2.63
	2.31	3.1	2.8
	2.21	3.15	2.93
	2.35	2.9	3
	2.29	3.22	3.1	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.31 ↓ (2.32)	3.07 ↓ (3.1)	2.89 ↓ (2.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Estudiantes de Mérida
39.2%

Draw
29.5%

Deportivo Lara
31.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.4%

29.5%

31.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.2%

28.9%

30.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Estudiantes de Mérida has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Deportivo Lara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Estudiantes de Mérida than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Lara than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Estudiantes de Mérida - Deportivo Lara Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Preview

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 15 and 11 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Division (Copa Sudamericana ~ Play Offs)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Estudiantes de Mérida won 2.

Estudiantes de Mérida is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Deportivo Lara is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Estudiantes de Mérida could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 23 head-to-head matches Estudiantes de Mérida won 7 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 22-29.

Including matches at home between the teams Estudiantes de Mérida won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 11-11.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Estudiantes de Mérida
Venezuelan Primera Division
18.03.22	Aragua - Estudiantes de Mérida	0:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
15.03.22	Metropolitanos - Estudiantes de Mérida	4:0 ✺
Venezuelan Primera Division
11.03.22	Estudiantes de Mérida - Carabobo	0:0 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
08.03.22	Estudiantes de Mérida - Metropolitanos	0:2 ✺
Venezuelan Primera Division
04.03.22	Zamora - Estudiantes de Mérida	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WLTLL
- Deportivo Lara
Venezuelan Primera Division
20.03.22	Deportivo Lara - Monagas	0:0 ✺
10.03.22	Mineros de Guayana - Deportivo Lara	1:0 ✺
03.03.22	Deportivo Lara - Caracas	1:1 ✺
27.02.22	Zulia - Deportivo Lara	0:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
16.02.22	Bolívar - Deportivo Lara	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 TLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Venezuelan Primera Division
19.11.21	Estudiantes de Mérida - Deportivo Lara	1:0
31.10.21	Deportivo Lara - Estudiantes de Mérida	4:0
07.12.20	Deportivo Lara - Estudiantes de Mérida	1:2
03.11.20	Estudiantes de Mérida - Deportivo Lara	0:1
04.08.19	Deportivo Lara - Estudiantes de Mérida	2:1
03.02.19	Estudiantes de Mérida - Deportivo Lara	1:1
23.09.18	Deportivo Lara - Estudiantes de Mérida	2:2

Upcoming Matches