The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Metropolitanos 49.6%
Draw 27.6%
Estudiantes de Mérida 22.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
52.7%
26.1%
21.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
57%
28.2%
19.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Metropolitanos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)
Estudiantes de Mérida has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Metropolitanos than the current prediction. (+7.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Metropolitanos, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Estudiantes de Mérida than the current prediction. (-3.2%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
55.6%
22.2%
22.2%
Metropolitanos - Estudiantes de Mérida Predictions
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Metropolitanos will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Estudiantes Mérida will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Confidence interval (95%) for Metropolitanos: 23.1% – 88.1%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Yustiz Y. (G) 17. Valderrey E. 4. Ferro A. 6. Caricote Y. 19. Ramirez I. 15. Zalzman D. 8. Ayine G. 88. Figueroa R. 7. Miku (C) 11. Ramirez S. 9. Ortiz K.
12. Roberts E. (G) 25. Acosta H. 44. Caicedo L. 4. Rodriguez C. 20. Montilla Maldonado J. A. 15. Rivas C. (C) 5. Ramirez Holguin W. S. 10. Pena A. 14. Ivey R. 9. Quejada K. 17. Magallan C.
Substitutes
20. Acosta R. 99. Bianciotti A. 23. Diaz M. 21. Garces R. 13. Gimenez J. 24. Jaimes A. 22. Lara J. (G) 2. Manenti F. 30. Navarro J. 14. Perez L. 10. Ramirez J. 5. Sangiovani R.
35. Ajam Elias 7. Albarran E. 26. Azocar J. 21. Flores A. 2. Gutierez J. 16. Lobo J. 3. Marquez J. 11. Montero A. 31. Montes G. 18. Rivera B. 1. Rojas T. (G)
Coaches
Stifano F.
Ortiz J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
18', Miku 🟨,
42', Magallan C. ↓, Montero A. ↑,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
59', Valderrey E. ↓, Manenti F. ↑,
59', Ramirez S. ↓, Navarro J. ↑,
59', Zalzman D. ↓, Sangiovani R. ↑,
68', Ortiz K. ↓, Bianciotti A. ↑,
69', Montero A. 🟨,
71', Pena A. ↓, Lobo J. ↑,
74', 1 - 0, Bianciotti A. ⚽, Figueroa R. (A),
77', Caicedo L. 🟨,
80', 2 - 0, Miku (Penalty Awarded),
81', Bianciotti A. 🟨,
83', Acosta H. ↓, Montes G. ↑,
83', Ramirez Holguin W. S. ↓, Flores A. ↑,
85', Miku ↓, Acosta R. ↑,
90+3', Quejada K. 🟨,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Metropolitanos won 3.
Metropolitanos has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Estudiantes Mérida is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
Metropolitanos might have a minor edge in this game.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Metropolitanos won 11 matches, drew 1 match, lost 8 matches, and goals 28:25. (average 1.4:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Metropolitanos won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 17:6. (average 1.7:0.6).
Watch
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Yustiz Y. (G) 
Ayine G. 
Ortiz K. 
Roberts E. (G) 
Quejada K. 
Bianciotti A. 
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