Match Info

Liga FUTVE - Apertura - Quadrangular - Round 4

Date: 17 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Metropolitano de Mérida (Mérida)


	Estudiantes de Mérida		Carabobo

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.15	3.1	2.2
	3.26	3.1	2.31
	3.34	3.04	2.3	Watch
	3.2	3	2.25
	3.15	3.14	2.15	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.22 ↓ (3.35)	3.08 ↑ (3.06)	2.24 ↑ (2.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Estudiantes de Mérida
28.7%

Draw
30.1%

Carabobo
41.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.3%

29.8%

42.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.4%

28.9%

44.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Estudiantes de Mérida has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Carabobo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Estudiantes de Mérida than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carabobo than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	33.3%	66.7%

Estudiantes de Mérida - Carabobo Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Carabobo will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Roberts E. (G) 25. Acosta H. 44. Caicedo L. 4. Rodriguez C. 20. Montilla Maldonado J. A. 16. Lobo J. 5. Ramirez Holguin W. S. 10. Pena A. (C) 14. Ivey R. 9. Quejada K. 17. Magallan C.	22. Bruera L. (C) 6. Bahachille A. 32. Neira E. 3. Fuentes J. 21. Gonzalez A. 5. Castillo E. 15. Cova M. 8. Perez J. 10. Orozco Y. 14. Berios J. 24. Ramirez E.
Substitutes
35. Ajam Elias 7. Albarran E. 26. Azocar J. 2. Gutierez J. 32. Izarra A. 3. Marquez J. 11. Montero A. 31. Montes G. 28. Paez M. 18. Rivera B. 1. Rojas T. (G) 36. Zambrano N.	4. Aponte L. 28. Bilbao J. 13. Duran J. 2. Guaramato M. 16. Lopez F. 19. Martinez L. 30. Mendoza S. 23. Meza D. 26. Nunez M. 17. Oliveros F. 12. Roa K. (G) 7. Tortolero E.
Coaches
Ortiz J.	Farias D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
38', Bahachille A. 🟨,
43', Roberts E. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Acosta H. 🟨,
49', Ramirez E. 🟨,
61', Ivey R. 🟨,
62', Ramirez E. ↓, Martinez L. ↑,
62', Orozco Y. ↓, Tortolero E. ↑,
62', Bahachille A. ↓, Aponte L. ↑,
72', Montilla Maldonado J. A. 🟨,
74', 0 - 1, Tortolero E. (Penalty Awarded),
75', Castillo E. ↓, Nunez M. ↑,
76', Montilla Maldonado J. A. ↓, Rivera B. ↑,
76', Pena A. ↓, Montero A. ↑,
76', Acosta H. ↓, Marquez J. ↑,
79', Lobo J. ↓, Ajam Elias ↑,
85', Rivera B. 🟨,
85', Cova M. ↓, Lopez F. ↑,
89', 0 - 2, Martinez L. ⚽, Berios J. (A),
90+8', Rivera B. 🟥,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Estudiantes Mérida won 1.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Estudiantes Mérida may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Carabobo has had a series of home games.

Carabobo might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Estudiantes Mérida won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 18:24. (average 0.9:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Estudiantes Mérida won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:12. (average 1.2:1.1).

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Carabobo	11	5	3	3	12:8	4	18
7	Estudiantes Merida	11	4	4	3	12:12	0	16

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Estudiantes de Mérida
Venezuelan Primera Division
13.05.26	Carabobo - Estudiantes de Mérida	1:0 ✺
08.05.26	Metropolitanos - Estudiantes de Mérida	2:0 ✺
02.05.26	Estudiantes de Mérida - Deportivo Táchira	2:1 ✺
26.04.26	Metropolitanos - Estudiantes de Mérida	2:0 ✺
19.04.26	Estudiantes de Mérida - Monagas	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 LLWLW
- Carabobo FC
Venezuelan Primera Division
13.05.26	Carabobo - Estudiantes de Mérida	1:0 ✺
09.05.26	Deportivo Táchira - Carabobo	3:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
07.05.26	Carabobo - River Plate	1:2 ✺
Venezuelan Primera Division
03.05.26	Carabobo - Metropolitanos	0:0 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
30.04.26	Carabobo - Blooming	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 WLLTW

Latest Head to Head

Venezuelan Primera Division
13.05.26	Carabobo - Estudiantes de Mérida	1:0
18.03.26	Estudiantes de Mérida - Carabobo	3:2
05.07.25	Carabobo - Estudiantes de Mérida	2:1
25.01.25	Estudiantes de Mérida - Carabobo	0:2
17.11.24	Estudiantes de Mérida - Carabobo	0:3
27.10.24	Carabobo - Estudiantes de Mérida	2:0
22.09.24	Estudiantes de Mérida - Carabobo	0:0

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