Match Info

ARGENTINA: Primera Nacional - Round 38

Date: 26 October 2024, Saturday

Location: Estadio Ciudad de Río Cuarto Antonio Candini (Cordoba)

Referee: Gariano A. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	TyC Sports Play


	Estudiantes de Río Cuarto		Atlético de Rafaela

	1	X	2
	6	3.8	1.55
	6.25	3.3	1.58
	7	3.4	1.55
	6.82	3.44	1.52
	6.27	3.53	1.61	Watch
	7	3.3	1.55
	6.75	3.44	1.55
	7	3.4	1.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.64 ↑ (2.42)	3.45 ↑ (2.81)	1.56 ↓ (3.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Estudiantes de Río Cuarto
13.9%

Draw
26.8%

Atlético de Rafaela
59.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.2%

32.9%

28.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.9%

33.5%

28.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Estudiantes de Río Cuarto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-24.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Estudiantes de Río Cuarto's form might have worsened.

Atlético de Rafaela has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+30.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Atlético de Rafaela's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Estudiantes de Río Cuarto than the current prediction. (+25%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Estudiantes de Río Cuarto, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético de Rafaela than the current prediction. (-30.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Atlético de Rafaela, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
17.6%	41.2%	41.2%

Estudiantes de Río Cuarto - Atlético de Rafaela Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. E Río Cuarto will win (votes: 3 - 17.6%). Atlético Rafaela will win (votes: 7 - 41.2%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 41.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Atlético Rafaela: 17.8% – 64.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Strumia J. (G) 4. Solveyra A. 2. Arturia G. 6. Gomez Pereyra M. 3. Angelini L. 5. Machado W. 7. Romero S. 11. Abraham I. 8. Alvarez F. 10. Tevez M. 9. Pons F.	1. Bilbao E. (G) 4. Fuyana J. 2. Colombo R. 6. Jappert K. 3. Quiroz F. 11. Pardo M. 5. Fissore M. 8. Galeano J. 7. Aguirre J. 9. Dichiara R. 10. Tomatis B.
Substitutes
12. Barlasina W. (G) 15. Blanco J. 13. De Vito Y. 14. Fenoglio V. 16. Gatani M. 18. Rosales M. 20. Valiente M.	15. Aguero E. 19. Albertengo L. 12. Grinovero A. (G) 16. Jaime D. 20. Luciani V. 13. Oliver F. 17. Valdivia M. 18. Vidal P. 14. Wuattier E.
Coaches
Salomon A.	Juarez I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
7', Romero S. 🟨,
34', Angelini L. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Pons F. ↓, Sordi R. ↑,
46', Machado W. ↓, Gatani M. ↑,
50', Fuyana J. 🟨,
53', Fuyana J. 🟨,
56', Tomatis B. ↓, Oliver F. ↑,
59', Angelini L. 🟨,
69', Tevez M. ↓, Rosales M. ↑,
72', Galeano J. 🟨,
76', Dichiara R. ↓, Albertengo L. ↑,
76', Fissore M. ↓, Valdivia M. ↑,
79', Quiroz F. 🟨,
84', Alvarez F. ↓, Jallaza D. ↑,
86', Galeano J. ↓, Jaime D. ↑,
90+2', 🟨,

Preview

Recent matches Estudiantes Río Cuarto is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Atlético Rafaela is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Atlético Rafaela is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Estudiantes Río Cuarto won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:0 (average 0.3:0).

Including matches at home between the teams Estudiantes Río Cuarto won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0:0 (average 0:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Estudiantes de Río Cuarto
Argentinian Primera Nacional
20.10.24	San Telmo - Estudiantes de Río Cuarto	2:0 ✺
13.10.24	Estudiantes de Río Cuarto - Chaco For Ever	0:0 ✺
04.10.24	Defensores de Belgrano - Estudiantes de Río Cuarto	0:0 ✺
29.09.24	Estudiantes de Río Cuarto - Club Almagro	1:0 ✺
22.09.24	Brown de Adrogué - Estudiantes de Río Cuarto	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LTTWT
- Atlético de Rafaela
Argentinian Primera Nacional
20.10.24	Atlético de Rafaela - Colón	0:0 ✺
14.10.24	Almirante Brown - Atlético de Rafaela	1:2 ✺
06.10.24	Atlético de Rafaela - Atlanta Buenos Aires	2:0 ✺
29.09.24	Defensores Unidos - Atlético de Rafaela	0:0 ✺
20.09.24	Atlético de Rafaela - Deportivo Madryn	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.4 TWWTT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
10.06.24	Atlético de Rafaela - Estudiantes de Río Cuarto	0:1
13.11.23	Estudiantes de Río Cuarto - Atlético de Rafaela	0:0
08.11.23	Atlético de Rafaela - Estudiantes de Río Cuarto	0:0
01.04.22	Estudiantes de Río Cuarto - Atlético de Rafaela	0:0

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