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Current Win Probability
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto 28.4%
Draw 35.1%
San Martín de Tucumán 36.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
40.8%
28.9%
30.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
39.9%
28.2%
31%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Estudiantes de Río Cuarto's form might have worsened.
San Martín de Tucumán has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting San Martín de Tucumán's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Estudiantes de Río Cuarto than the current prediction. (+11.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Estudiantes de Río Cuarto, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Martín de Tucumán than the current prediction. (-5.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for San Martín de Tucumán, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
20%
40%
40%
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto - San Martín de Tucumán Predictions
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. E Río Cuarto will win (votes: 1 - 20%). San Martin T will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
43. Lastra A. (G) 9. Ferreira J. (C) 26. Forclaz E. 79. Leiva T. 40. Lo Celso F. 45. Lozano R. 14. Morro N. 16. Ostchega T. 24. Ramponi J. 20. Tevez M. 22. Valiente M.
1. Manganelli N. (G) 7. Borasi B. 5. Brinone S. 11. Ferreyra L. 3. Gallardo N. 10. Garcia M. (C) 8. Juarez J. 4. Lopez E. 6. Parnisari E. 2. Penalba T. 9. Pons F.
Substitutes
3. Bersano F. 15. Cepeha L. 35. Gallardo F. 99. Galvan F. 10. Gonzalez T. 38. Herrera L. (G) 29. Molina M. 18. Morales A. 27. Moyano B. 25. Olmos T. 85. Rodriguez M. 31. Valenti M.
19. Castro N. 18. Cisnero A. 23. Diarte L. 20. Diellos D. 13. Ferreyra N. 22. Graneros A. 17. Lopez K. 21. Monroy G. 14. Rodriguez G. 16. Salazar V. 12. Sand D. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
45', Lopez E. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Ramponi J. ↓, Valenti M. ↑,
46', Leiva T. ↓, Gonzalez T. ↑,
58', Lopez E. ↓, Salazar V. ↑,
59', Forclaz E. ↓, Gallardo F. ↑,
63', Gallardo N. 🟨,
69', Lo Celso F. ↓, Galvan F. ↑,
76', Borasi B. ↓, Cisnero A. ↑,
76', Juarez J. ↓, Lopez K. ↑,
77', Tevez M. ↓, Rodriguez M. ↑,
77', Ferreyra L. ↓, Monroy G. ↑,
Penalties (3 - 4)
1, Ferreira J. (Penalty Awarded),
1, Brinone S. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Valiente M. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Lopez K. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Morro N. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Cisnero A. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Ostchega T. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Garcia M. (Penalty Awarded),
5, Lozano R. (Penalty Awarded),
Preview
Neutral location.
E Río Cuarto is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).
San Martin T has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
San Martin T may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, E Río Cuarto won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 1:5. (average 0.2:1).
Including home matches between the teams, E Río Cuarto won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1. (average 0:0.5).