The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Deportivo Madryn 35.7%
Draw 35.6%
San Martín de Tucumán 28.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
40.9%
32.8%
26.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
41.9%
33.6%
25.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportivo Madryn has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Deportivo Madryn's form might have worsened.
San Martín de Tucumán has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Madryn than the current prediction. (+6.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Deportivo Madryn, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Martín de Tucumán than the current prediction. (-3%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
25%
25%
50%
Deportivo Madryn - San Martín de Tucumán Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Deportivo Madryn will win (votes: 1 - 25%). San Martin T will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Bonnin Y. (C) 4. Cosi J. 2. Gutierrez A. 6. Ortiz N. D. 3. Ayala R. 8. Meli M. 5. Calleros Y. 11. Barrientos N. 7. Cuero M. 9. Servetto N. 10. Solis N.
1. Sand D. (C) 4. Salazar V. 2. Ferreyra N. 6. Parnisari E. 3. Diarte L. 8. Lopez K. 5. Rodriguez L. 11. Garcia M. 10. Castro N. 7. Ovando L. 9. Diellos D.
Substitutes
20. Bonacci P. 14. Giacopuzzi F. 18. Gudino G. 13. Martinez D. 19. Montagna E. 12. Montero M. (G) 17. Ospitaleche F. 15. Recalde F. 16. Sosa A.
15. Arfaras L. 18. Borasi B. 14. Brinone S. 17. Galvan A. 16. Juarez J. 12. Manganelli N. (G) 20. Pons F. 13. Rodriguez G. 19. Rodriguez G.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
6', 0 - 1, Diellos D. ⚽, Garcia M. (A),
19', Ortiz N. D. 🟨,
25', Ferreyra N. 🟨,
33', Meli M. 🟨,
45+4', 1 - 1, Cuero M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Lopez K. ↓, Brinone S. ↑,
46', Barrientos N. ↓, Bonacci P. ↑,
46', Cosi J. ↓, Sosa A. ↑,
46', Calleros Y. ↓, Recalde F. ↑,
55', Ovando L. ↓, Rodriguez G. ↑,
67', Cuero M. ↓, Gudino G. ↑,
71', Garcia M. ↓, Pons F. ↑,
71', Diellos D. ↓, Arfaras L. ↑,
71', Castro N. ↓, Juarez J. ↑,
78', Ortiz N. D. ↓, Giacopuzzi F. ↑,
83', Meli M. 🟥,
83', Parnisari E. 🟥,
85', Rodriguez L. 🟨,
88', Solis N. 🟨,
89', Brinone S. 🟨,
90+1', Juarez J. 🟨,
Preview
Recent performances by Deportivo Madryn have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
San Martin T is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
San Martin T may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Deportivo Madryn is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Madryn won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 1.3:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Deportivo Madryn won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 2:1.5).
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Bonnin Y. (C) 
Calleros Y. 
Cuero M. 
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