Match Info

Date: 1 December 2020, Tuesday 🏁 Finished


	Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo		Tsarsko Selo Sofia

	1	X	2
	2.55	3	2.62
	2.6	2.95	2.65
				Watch
	2.7	2.95	2.65
	2.76	3.25	2.67
	2.7	2.88	2.7
	2.62	3.22	2.57
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.66 ↓ (2.74)	3.04 ↓ (3.05)	2.64 ↑ (2.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo
34.8%

Draw
30.3%

Tsarsko Selo Sofia
34.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

33.5%

30.1%

36.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.3%

20.9%

52.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Tsarsko Selo Sofia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo than the current prediction. (-11.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tsarsko Selo Sofia than the current prediction. (+17.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tsarsko Selo Sofia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
21.6%	51.4%	27%

Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo - Tsarsko Selo Sofia Predictions

Users Predictions: 37 users predict this event. Etar will win (votes: 8 - 21.6%). Tsarsko Selo will win (votes: 10 - 27%). It will Tie (votes: 19 - 51.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 35.3% – 67.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 14 in the zone Parva liga (Relegation Group) and 9 in the zone Parva liga (Relegation Group)).

Recent matches Etar is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Tsarsko Selo is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Tsarsko Selo could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Tsarsko Selo have a series of guest games.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Etar won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Etar won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo
Bulgarian Parva Liga
21.11.20	Slavia Sofia - Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo	0:0 ✺
08.11.20	Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo - Arda Kardzhali	0:0 ✺
02.11.20	Botev Vratsa - Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo	5:1 ✺
26.10.20	Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo - Beroe Stara Zagora	2:3 ✺
Bulgarian Cup
22.10.20	Sozopol - Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo	0:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 TTLLW
- Tsarsko Selo Sofia
Bulgarian Parva Liga
23.11.20	Arda Kardzhali - Tsarsko Selo Sofia	2:0 ✺
01.11.20	CSKA Sofia - Tsarsko Selo Sofia	1:0 ✺
24.10.20	Tsarsko Selo Sofia - Lokomotiv Plovdiv	0:3 ✺
Bulgarian Cup
20.10.20	Kariana Erden - Tsarsko Selo Sofia	0:1 ✺
Bulgarian Parva Liga
17.10.20	Ludogorets Razgrad - Tsarsko Selo Sofia	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.1 LLLWT

Latest Head to Head

Bulgarian Parva Liga
11.08.20	Tsarsko Selo Sofia - Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo	3:0
22.06.20	Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo - Tsarsko Selo Sofia	0:1
06.12.19	Tsarsko Selo Sofia - Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo	2:2
16.08.19	Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo - Tsarsko Selo Sofia	1:1
Club Friendly
17.11.18	Tsarsko Selo Sofia - Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo	0:2
Bulgarian Vtora Liga
19.05.17	Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo - Tsarsko Selo Sofia	0:0

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo
Bulgarian Vtora Liga
30.10.26	Pirin Blagoevgrad - Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo	✺

Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo - Tsarsko Selo Sofia