Match Info

ETHIOPIA: PREMIER LEAGUE - ROUND 21

Date: 27 April 2023, Thursday


	Ethio Electric		Wolkite Kenema

	1	X	2
	3.25	3.2	1.98
	3.7	2.9	1.95
	3.53	3.05	2.03
	3.62	3.04	2.08	Watch
	2.9	3.15	2.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.4 ↑ (3.04)	3.07 ↑ (2.91)	2.08 ↓ (2.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ethio Electric
26.7%

Draw
29.6%

Wolkite Kenema
43.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.6%

30.9%

39.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.2%

30.3%

38.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ethio Electric has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Wolkite Kenema has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ethio Electric than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wolkite Kenema than the current prediction. (-5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
11.1%	55.6%	33.3%

Ethio Electric - Wolkite Kenema Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Ethio Electric will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Wolkite Kenema will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 55.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 23.1% – 88.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 12).

One and the other team are in an unacceptable form.

Recently Wolkite Kenema have a series of guest games.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Ethio Electric won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ethio Electric SC
Ethiopian Premier League
21.04.23	Adama City - Ethio Electric	2:0 ✺
15.04.23	Legetafo Legedadi - Ethio Electric	0:0 ✺
09.04.23	Ethio Electric - Welayta Dicha	1:1 ✺
02.04.23	Saint George - Ethio Electric	2:0 ✺
08.03.23	Ethio Electric - Bahir Dar Kenema	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LTTLL
- Wolkite Kenema
Ethiopian Premier League
21.04.23	Sidama Coffee - Wolkite Kenema	1:2 ✺
13.04.23	Hawassa City - Wolkite Kenema	3:2 ✺
08.04.23	Ethiopia Bunna - Wolkite Kenema	1:0 ✺
04.04.23	Wolkite Kenema - Bahir Dar Kenema	0:4 ✺
09.03.23	Arba Minch - Wolkite Kenema	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Ethiopian Premier League
05.11.22	Wolkite Kenema - Ethio Electric	2:1

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