Match Info

Premier League - Round 27

Date: 14 April 2026, Tuesday 🏁 Finished


	Adama City		Ethio Electric

	1	X	2
	3.15	2.35	2.68
	3.19	2.28	2.63
	3.26	2.45	2.68	Watch
	3.2	2.3	2.63
	3.34	2.35	2.66	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.23 ↑ (3.05)	2.35 ↓ (2.66)	2.66 ↑ (2.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.50

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Adama City
27.8%

Draw
38.3%

Ethio Electric
33.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

30.2%

34.6%

35.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.1%

34.5%

35.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Adama City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Ethio Electric has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Adama City than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ethio Electric than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Adama City - Ethio Electric Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
41', 0 - 1, Habtamu A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 10 and 6).

Adama City is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Ethio Electric is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Adama City won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:5. (average 1.2:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Adama City won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Ethio Electric	4	2	1	1	2:1	1	7
8	Adama City	4	1	2	1	2:2	0	5

Last Results with these Odds

Ethio Electric - the odds 2.61 are the expected chance of winning is 35.25%, but this team recently wins 30% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Adama City FC
Ethiopian Premier League
10.04.26	Bahir Dar Kenema - Adama City	2:1 ✺
05.04.26	Adama City - Negele Arsi Ketema	1:2 ✺
14.03.26	Ethiopia Bunna - Adama City	3:2 ✺
10.03.26	Adama City - Arba Minch	0:2 ✺
05.03.26	Hadiya Hossana - Adama City	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLLLT
- Ethio Electric SC
Ethiopian Premier League
08.04.26	Saint George - Ethio Electric	2:1 ✺
03.04.26	Ethio Electric - Bahir Dar Kenema	0:0 ✺
15.03.26	Negele Arsi Ketema - Ethio Electric	0:2 ✺
08.03.26	Ethio Electric - Ethiopia Bunna	2:1 ✺
04.03.26	Arba Minch - Ethio Electric	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.2 LTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Ethiopian Premier League
30.11.25	Ethio Electric - Adama City	0:0
28.02.25	Ethio Electric - Adama City	0:2
03.02.25	Adama City - Ethio Electric	0:3
21.04.23	Adama City - Ethio Electric	2:0
24.10.22	Ethio Electric - Adama City	2:2

Adama City - Ethio Electric