Match Info

ETHIOPIA: PREMIER LEAGUE - ROUND 19

Date: 13 April 2023, Thursday


	Hawassa City		Wolkite Kenema

	1	X	2
	2.6	2.9	2.5
	2.7	2.7	2.7
	2.8	2.75	2.56
	2.74	3.08	2.53
	2.7	3.05	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.71 ↑ (2.15)	2.9 ↓ (2.96)	2.57 ↓ (3.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hawassa City
33.4%

Draw
31.3%

Wolkite Kenema
35.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.1%

30.6%

27.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.8%

29.4%

26.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hawassa City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Hawassa City's form might have worsened.

Wolkite Kenema has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Wolkite Kenema's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hawassa City than the current prediction. (+10.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hawassa City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wolkite Kenema than the current prediction. (-9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Wolkite Kenema, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	28.6%	57.1%

Hawassa City - Wolkite Kenema Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Hawassa City will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Wolkite Kenema will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 4 and 13).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Hawassa City won 2.

Hawassa City is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Wolkite Kenema is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Hawassa City could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Hawassa City won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Hawassa City won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hawassa City SC
Ethiopian Premier League
09.04.23	Adama City - Hawassa City	0:2 ✺
11.03.23	Hawassa City - Ethiopia Bunna	0:0 ✺
06.03.23	Legetafo Legedadi - Hawassa City	0:1 ✺
23.02.23	Arba Minch - Hawassa City	1:1 ✺
17.02.23	Hawassa City - Bahir Dar Kenema	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15 WTWTT
- Wolkite Kenema
Ethiopian Premier League
08.04.23	Ethiopia Bunna - Wolkite Kenema	1:0 ✺
04.04.23	Wolkite Kenema - Bahir Dar Kenema	0:4 ✺
09.03.23	Arba Minch - Wolkite Kenema	2:2 ✺
23.02.23	Adama City - Wolkite Kenema	3:1 ✺
19.02.23	Wolkite Kenema - Welayta Dicha	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Ethiopian Premier League
18.10.22	Wolkite Kenema - Hawassa City	3:4
20.04.22	Hawassa City - Wolkite Kenema	1:0
21.11.21	Wolkite Kenema - Hawassa City	1:0
16.05.21	Hawassa City - Wolkite Kenema	0:0
05.02.21	Wolkite Kenema - Hawassa City	0:0
18.01.20	Hawassa City - Wolkite Kenema	3:1

Hawassa City - Wolkite Kenema: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide