Match Info

Premier League - Round 9

Date: 6 December 2025, Saturday


	Ethiopia Nigd Bank		Welwalo Adigrat

	1	X	2
	1.78	2.98	4.65
	1.71	3.24	5.23
	1.76	3.03	5.27	Watch
	1.73	3	5
	1.75	3.04	5.01
	1.71	3.25	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↓ (1.88)	3.09 ↑ (3)	5.03 ↑ (4.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ethiopia Nigd Bank
52.4%

Draw
29.5%

Welwalo Adigrat
18.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49%

30.7%

20.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.8%

30.8%

20.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ethiopia Nigd Bank has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

Welwalo Adigrat has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ethiopia Nigd Bank than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Welwalo Adigrat than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

Ethiopia Nigd Bank - Welwalo Adigrat Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
4', 1 - 0, Gidey A. (Penalty Awarded),
45+3', Amankwah C. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
64', 1 - 1, Tesfaye G. (Penalty Awarded),
90+6', 1 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 15 and 20 in the zone Relegation).

In recent matches, Ethiopia Nigd Bank has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Welwalo Adigrat is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Ethiopia Nigd Bank is considered a favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Ethiopia Nigd Bank won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:3. (average 2:1.5).

Including home match between the teams, Ethiopia Nigd Bank won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ethiopia Nigd Bank
Ethiopian Premier League
01.12.25	Sidama Coffee - Ethiopia Nigd Bank	1:0 ✺
27.11.25	Mekelle 70 Enderta - Ethiopia Nigd Bank	2:2 ✺
21.11.25	Ethiopia Nigd Bank - Welayta Dicha	1:1 ✺
09.11.25	Hawassa City - Ethiopia Nigd Bank	1:1 ✺
04.11.25	Ethiopia Nigd Bank - Dire Dawa City	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LTTTW
- Welwalo Adigrat University FC
Ethiopian Premier League
30.11.25	Welwalo Adigrat - Mekelle 70 Enderta	1:0 ✺
25.11.25	Welayta Dicha - Welwalo Adigrat	2:1 ✺
21.11.25	Welwalo Adigrat - Hawassa City	0:1 ✺
08.11.25	Dire Dawa City - Welwalo Adigrat	2:1 ✺
04.11.25	Welwalo Adigrat - Mechal	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Ethiopian Premier League
06.05.25	Ethiopia Nigd Bank - Welwalo Adigrat	2:2
06.11.24	Welwalo Adigrat - Ethiopia Nigd Bank	1:2

Ethiopia Nigd Bank - Welwalo Adigrat: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide