Match Info

Premier League - Round 6

Date: 21 November 2025, Friday

Location: Dire Dawa Stadium (Dire Dawa)


	Welwalo Adigrat		Hawassa City

	1	X	2
	6.1	3.5	1.52
	6.17	3.55	1.55	Watch
	7.28	3.54	1.54	Watch
	5.96	3.53	1.51
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.38 ↓ (6.64)	3.53 ↑ (3.25)	1.53 ↓ (1.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Welwalo Adigrat
14.3%

Draw
25.9%

Hawassa City
59.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

13.6%

27.9%

58.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

13.2%

27%

60.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Welwalo Adigrat has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Hawassa City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Welwalo Adigrat than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hawassa City than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Welwalo Adigrat - Hawassa City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
69', 0 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 6).

Welwalo Adigrat has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Hawassa City is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Hawassa City is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Welwalo Adigrat won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:5. (average 0.3:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Welwalo Adigrat won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1. (average 0:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Welwalo Adigrat University FC
Ethiopian Premier League
08.11.25	Dire Dawa City - Welwalo Adigrat	2:1 ✺
04.11.25	Welwalo Adigrat - Mechal	0:2 ✺
28.10.25	Shire Endaselassie - Welwalo Adigrat	0:0 ✺
23.10.25	Welwalo Adigrat - Fasil Kenema	0:2 ✺
18.10.25	Welwalo Adigrat - Sidama Coffee	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLTLL
- Hawassa City SC
Ethiopian Premier League
09.11.25	Hawassa City - Ethiopia Nigd Bank	1:1 ✺
04.11.25	Mekelle 70 Enderta - Hawassa City	1:3 ✺
29.10.25	Hawassa City - Welayta Dicha	2:1 ✺
25.10.25	Sidama Coffee - Hawassa City	1:0 ✺
18.10.25	Dire Dawa City - Hawassa City	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 TWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Ethiopian Premier League
09.06.25	Welwalo Adigrat - Hawassa City	0:1
21.01.25	Hawassa City - Welwalo Adigrat	1:1
04.01.20	Welwalo Adigrat - Hawassa City	0:0
28.10.18	Hawassa City - Welwalo Adigrat	3:0

Welwalo Adigrat - Hawassa City: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide