Match Info

Premier League - Round 3

Date: 22 October 2026, Thursday 🏁 Finished


	Hawassa City		Ethiopia Nigd Bank

	1	X	2
	2.85	2.60	2.55
	2.85	2.60	2.63
	3.06	2.57	2.77
	3.01	2.55	2.76	Watch
	2.87	2.82	2.74	Watch
	2.90	2.60	2.60
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.92 ↑ (2.56)	2.62 ↓ (2.76)	2.68 ↓ (2.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.75

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hawassa City
31.2%

Draw
34.7%

Ethiopia Nigd Bank
34.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

35.7%

33.1%

31.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hawassa City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

Ethiopia Nigd Bank has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
5', 1 - 0, Kebede G. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
84', 1 - 1, Lowe L. ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hawassa City won 1.

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 7 head-to-head meetings, Hawassa City has recorded 2 wins, 1 draw, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 8:13 (averaging 1.1:1.9 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Hawassa City against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with 3:5 goals (averaging 1:1.7 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Ethiopia Nigd Bank	4	2	2	0	3:1	2	8
14	Hawassa	3	0	2	1	2:3	-1	2

Last Results with these Odds

Ethiopia Nigd Bank - the odds 2.93 are the expected chance of winning is 31.19%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hawassa City SC
Ethiopian Premier League
17.10.26	Hawassa City - Ethiopian Medhin	1:1 ✺
11.10.26	Hawassa City - Mechal	0:1 ✺
02.07.26	Hawassa City - Adama City	2:3 ✺
28.06.26	Ethio Electric - Hawassa City	1:1 ✺
21.06.26	Hawassa City - Bahir Dar Kenema	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 TLLTT
- Ethiopia Nigd Bank
Ethiopian Premier League
18.10.26	Mechal - Ethiopia Nigd Bank	0:1 ✺
11.10.26	Sidama Coffee - Ethiopia Nigd Bank	0:1 ✺
03.07.26	Ethiopia Nigd Bank - Bahir Dar Kenema	2:2 ✺
26.06.26	Negele Arsi Ketema - Ethiopia Nigd Bank	2:0 ✺
20.06.26	Ethiopia Nigd Bank - Ethiopia Bunna	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16 WWTLT

Latest Head to Head

Ethiopian Premier League
14.03.26	Ethiopia Nigd Bank - Hawassa City	4:2
09.11.25	Hawassa City - Ethiopia Nigd Bank	1:1
22.04.25	Hawassa City - Ethiopia Nigd Bank	2:1
05.02.25	Ethiopia Nigd Bank - Hawassa City	2:0
11.04.24	Ethiopia Nigd Bank - Hawassa City	2:1
03.12.23	Hawassa City - Ethiopia Nigd Bank	0:3
09.02.17	Ethiopia Nigd Bank - Hawassa City	0:2

Hawassa City - Ethiopia Nigd Bank