Match Info

Premier League - Round 13

Date: 5 January 2026, Monday 🏁 Finished


	Ethiopian Medhin		Mekelle 70 Enderta

	1	X	2
	2.18	2.82	3.3
	2.26	2.91	3.32	Watch
	2.25	2.7	3.25
	2.19	2.82	3.44	Watch
	2.25	2.83	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.23 ↑ (2.2)	2.82 ↓ (2.85)	3.34 ↑ (3.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ethiopian Medhin
40.7%

Draw
32.2%

Mekelle 70 Enderta
27.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

41%

31.7%

27.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.9%

30.3%

26.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ethiopian Medhin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Mekelle 70 Enderta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ethiopian Medhin than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mekelle 70 Enderta than the current prediction. (-1%)

Ethiopian Medhin - Mekelle 70 Enderta Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
25', 0 - 1, Alemu F. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 17 and 19 in the zone Relegation).

Ethiopian Medhin has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Mekelle 70 Enderta's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Ethiopian Medhin could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Ethiopian Medhin won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:0. (average 2.5:0).

Including home match between the teams, Ethiopian Medhin won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Ethiopian Insurance	3	1	1	1	4:4	0	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ethiopian Medhin
Ethiopian Premier League
31.12.25	Ethiopia Nigd Bank - Ethiopian Medhin	2:1 ✺
26.12.25	Ethiopian Medhin - Sidama Coffee	1:1 ✺
20.12.25	Hawassa City - Ethiopian Medhin	2:1 ✺
05.12.25	Ethiopian Medhin - Ethio Electric	1:1 ✺
30.11.25	Bahir Dar Kenema - Ethiopian Medhin	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LTLTL
- Mekelle 70 Enderta FC
Ethiopian Premier League
29.12.25	Mekelle 70 Enderta - Saint George	1:1 ✺
24.12.25	Arba Minch - Mekelle 70 Enderta	0:2 ✺
19.12.25	Mekelle 70 Enderta - Hadiya Hossana	1:2 ✺
07.12.25	Mekelle 70 Enderta - Fasil Kenema	1:1 ✺
30.11.25	Welwalo Adigrat - Mekelle 70 Enderta	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 TWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Ethiopian Premier League
17.05.25	Mekelle 70 Enderta - Ethiopian Medhin	0:1
04.11.24	Ethiopian Medhin - Mekelle 70 Enderta	4:0

Ethiopian Medhin - Mekelle 70 Enderta