Match Info

Premier League - Round 8

Date: 30 November 2025, Sunday


	Bahir Dar Kenema		Ethiopian Medhin

	1	X	2
	2.38	2.82	3
	2.4	2.83	3.04
	2.45	2.80	3.10	Watch
	2.4	2.8	3.05	Watch
	2.42	2.9	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.41 ↑ (2.41)	2.83 ↓ (2.88)	3.04 ↑ (3.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bahir Dar Kenema
37.8%

Draw
32.2%

Ethiopian Medhin
30%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38%

31.8%

30.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.6%

32.3%

29.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bahir Dar Kenema has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Ethiopian Medhin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bahir Dar Kenema than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ethiopian Medhin than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Bahir Dar Kenema - Ethiopian Medhin Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
82', 1 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 9 and 13).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bahir Dar won 1.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Ethiopian Medhin may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Bahir Dar won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:9. (average 1.5:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Bahir Dar won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 0.7:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bahir Dar Kenema
Ethiopian Premier League
25.11.25	Adama City - Bahir Dar Kenema	1:0 ✺
22.11.25	Bahir Dar Kenema - Ethio Electric	2:0 ✺
08.11.25	Bahir Dar Kenema - Saint George	1:3 ✺
02.11.25	Negele Arsi Ketema - Bahir Dar Kenema	0:0 ✺
28.10.25	Bahir Dar Kenema - Ethiopia Bunna	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LWLTT
- Ethiopian Medhin
Ethiopian Premier League
25.11.25	Ethiopian Medhin - Negele Arsi Ketema	0:1 ✺
21.11.25	Ethiopia Bunna - Ethiopian Medhin	2:3 ✺
16.11.25	Saint George - Ethiopian Medhin	1:0 ✺
08.11.25	Ethiopian Medhin - Arba Minch	0:0 ✺
03.11.25	Hadiya Hossana - Ethiopian Medhin	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LWLTW

Latest Head to Head

Ethiopian Premier League
09.05.25	Ethiopian Medhin - Bahir Dar Kenema	1:2
20.01.25	Bahir Dar Kenema - Ethiopian Medhin	0:1
29.02.24	Bahir Dar Kenema - Ethiopian Medhin	0:0
08.10.23	Ethiopian Medhin - Bahir Dar Kenema	3:2
28.04.23	Bahir Dar Kenema - Ethiopian Medhin	2:2
04.11.22	Ethiopian Medhin - Bahir Dar Kenema	2:3

Bahir Dar Kenema - Ethiopian Medhin: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide