Match Info

Premier League - Round 10

Date: 20 December 2025, Saturday


	Hawassa City		Ethiopian Medhin

	1	X	2
	2.78	2.72	2.62
	3.06	2.71	2.49
	2.64	2.88	2.78	Watch
	2.7	2.63	2.7
	2.78	2.69	2.62
	2.66	2.8	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.77 ↓ (2.88)	2.74 ↓ (2.8)	2.67 ↑ (2.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Hawassa City
32.8%

Draw
33.2%

Ethiopian Medhin
34%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.3%

32.3%

36.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.6%

31.6%

37.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hawassa City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Ethiopian Medhin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hawassa City than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ethiopian Medhin than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

Hawassa City - Ethiopian Medhin Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
3', 0 - 1, Erbo A. ⚽,
21', 1 - 1, Kebede G. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', 2 - 1, Yared B. ⚽,

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 7 and 16).

Hawassa City has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Ethiopian Medhin has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Ethiopian Medhin may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hawassa City won 0 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:6. (average 1:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Hawassa City won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 1:1.3).

Last Results with these Odds

Hawassa City - the odds 2.88 are the expected chance of winning is 31.34%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hawassa City SC
Ethiopian Premier League
07.12.25	Hawassa City - Mechal	1:1 ✺
01.12.25	Shire Endaselassie - Hawassa City	1:0 ✺
26.11.25	Hawassa City - Fasil Kenema	0:1 ✺
21.11.25	Welwalo Adigrat - Hawassa City	0:1 ✺
09.11.25	Hawassa City - Ethiopia Nigd Bank	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 TLLWT
- Ethiopian Medhin
Ethiopian Premier League
05.12.25	Ethiopian Medhin - Ethio Electric	1:1 ✺
30.11.25	Bahir Dar Kenema - Ethiopian Medhin	1:0 ✺
25.11.25	Ethiopian Medhin - Negele Arsi Ketema	0:1 ✺
21.11.25	Ethiopia Bunna - Ethiopian Medhin	2:3 ✺
16.11.25	Saint George - Ethiopian Medhin	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 TLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Ethiopian Premier League
03.04.25	Hawassa City - Ethiopian Medhin	1:2
30.03.24	Ethiopian Medhin - Hawassa City	2:2
26.10.23	Hawassa City - Ethiopian Medhin	0:0
23.05.23	Hawassa City - Ethiopian Medhin	2:2
28.11.22	Ethiopian Medhin - Hawassa City	0:0

Hawassa City - Ethiopian Medhin: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide