Match Info

Premier League - Round 2

Date: 17 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Hawassa City		Ethiopian Medhin

	1	X	2
	2.60	2.75	2.65
	2.65	2.72	2.65
	2.71	2.81	2.76	Watch
	2.72	2.88	2.83
	2.65	2.75	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.67 (2.67)	2.78 ↓ (2.83)	2.71 ↓ (2.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hawassa City
34%

Draw
32.6%

Ethiopian Medhin
33.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

34.4%

32.5%

33.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hawassa City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Ethiopian Medhin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
10', 🟥,
21', 0 - 1, Nkurunziza A. ⚽,
45+4', 🟥,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
62', 1 - 1, ⚽,
86', 🟥,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hawassa City won 1.

Hawassa City may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 7 head-to-head meetings, Hawassa City has recorded 1 win, 4 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 8:9 (averaging 1.1:1.3 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Hawassa City against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 2 draws, and 1 loss, with 5:5 goals (averaging 1.3:1.3 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Ethiopian Insurance	3	1	1	1	4:4	0	4
14	Hawassa	3	0	2	1	2:3	-1	2

Last Results with these Odds

Hawassa City - the odds 2.67 are the expected chance of winning is 34.44%, but this team recently wins 27% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hawassa City SC
Ethiopian Premier League
11.10.26	Hawassa City - Mechal	0:1 ✺
02.07.26	Hawassa City - Adama City	2:3 ✺
28.06.26	Ethio Electric - Hawassa City	1:1 ✺
21.06.26	Hawassa City - Bahir Dar Kenema	0:0 ✺
15.06.26	Negele Arsi Ketema - Hawassa City	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LLTTL
- Ethiopian Medhin
Ethiopian Premier League
01.07.26	Fasil Kenema - Ethiopian Medhin	1:0 ✺
27.06.26	Ethiopian Medhin - Shire Endaselassie	0:3 ✺
21.06.26	Mechal - Ethiopian Medhin	1:0 ✺
30.05.26	Welwalo Adigrat - Ethiopian Medhin	1:1 ✺
Ethiopian Cup
26.05.26	Sidama Coffee - Ethiopian Medhin	3:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Ethiopian Premier League
29.04.26	Ethiopian Medhin - Hawassa City	2:1
20.12.25	Hawassa City - Ethiopian Medhin	2:1
03.04.25	Hawassa City - Ethiopian Medhin	1:2
30.03.24	Ethiopian Medhin - Hawassa City	2:2
26.10.23	Hawassa City - Ethiopian Medhin	0:0
23.05.23	Hawassa City - Ethiopian Medhin	2:2
28.11.22	Ethiopian Medhin - Hawassa City	0:0

Hawassa City - Ethiopian Medhin