The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
AEL Limassol 47.2%
Draw 26.8%
Ethnikos Achna 26%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
52.6%
26.5%
20.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
53.9%
25.9%
20.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
AEL Limassol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that AEL Limassol's form might have worsened.
Ethnikos Achna has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ethnikos Achna's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for AEL Limassol than the current prediction. (+6.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for AEL Limassol, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ethnikos Achna than the current prediction. (-5.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ethnikos Achna, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
80%
0%
20%
AEL Limassol - Ethnikos Achna Predictions
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. AEL will win (votes: 4 - 80%). Ethnikos Achna will win (votes: 1 - 20%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
98. Kyriakou P. (C) 21. Bogdan L. 45. Forestieri F. 26. Glavcic N. 40. Maseko T. 19. Milosavljevic I. 25. Panagiotou Filiotis A. 29. Paroutis D. 27. Sawo Z. 15. Stevanovic D. 37. Szoke J.
38. Toumpas I. (G) 33. Andereggen N. 29. Bahanack P. 27. Confais A. 70. Giousis C. 12. Lomotey E. (C) 5. Luis Felipe 20. Machado L. 77. Neneco 30. Papageorgiou G. 10. Pechlivanis M.
Substitutes
2. Frantzis C. 24. Imanishimwe E. 10. Jradi B. Z. 99. Keravnos A. (G) 33. Makris A. 63. Mughe F. R. 95. Neofytidis C. (G) 22. Neofytou K. 90. Panagi P. 8. Papafotis V. 6. Zdravkovski D.
80. Angelopoulos G. N. 64. Camacho R. 7. Cejas J. 14. Dimitriou M. 40. Flores L. (G) 44. Giallouros N. 17. Gonzalez P. 8. Maia M. 47. Perdios N. 24. Psaltis P. 99. Siverio J.
Coaches
Martins H.
Mihajlovic V.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
37', 0 - 1, Giousis C. ⚽,
43', Giousis C. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', 1 - 1, Panagiotou Filiotis A. ⚽,
58', Forestieri F. ↓, Makris A. ↑,
58', Paroutis D. ↓, Mughe F. R. ↑,
60', Papageorgiou G. ↓, Gonzalez P. ↑,
76', Maseko T. ↓, Neofytou K. ↑,
78', Sawo Z. 🟨,
81', Stevanovic D. 🟨,
83', Confais A. ↓, Angelopoulos G. N. ↑,
83', Andereggen N. 🟨,
87', Szoke J. 🟨,
90+4', Machado L. ↓, Giallouros N. ↑,
90+5', Giousis C. ↓, Psaltis P. ↑,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, AEL won 2.
Both teams are struggling and far from their best.
AEL may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, AEL is seen as the favorite.
There will not play in AEL: Bogdan L.
(Inactive)
Jradi B. Z.
(Inactive)
There will not play in Ethnikos Achna: Andereggen N.
(Red Card)
There are questionable in Ethnikos Achna: Ofori R.
(Inactive)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, AEL won 12 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 36:17. (average 1.8:0.9).
Including home matches between the teams, AEL won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 24:7. (average 2.7:0.8).
Cyprus
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Kyriakou P. (C) 
Bogdan L. 
Forestieri F. 
Glavcic N. 
Maseko T. 
Sawo Z. 
Szoke J. 
Andereggen N. 
Bahanack P. 
Confais A. 
Giousis C. 
Lomotey E. (C) 
Luis Felipe 
Machado L. 
Neneco 
Imanishimwe E. 
Jradi B. Z. 
Zdravkovski D. 
Gonzalez P. 
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