Match Info

TURKEY: 2. Lig Red Group - Round 38

Date: 4 May 2024, Saturday


	Etimesgut		İnegölspor

	1	X	2
	1.36	4.4	6.75
	1.36	4.75	7.5
	1.3	4.34	7.03
	1.36	4.46	8.1
	1.29	4.9	7.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.33 ↓ (1.6)	4.57 ↑ (3.9)	7.44 ↑ (4.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Etimesgut
68%

Draw
19.8%

İnegölspor
12.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.1%

23.4%

19.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.3%

22.9%

19.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Etimesgut has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Etimesgut's performance.

İnegölspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and İnegölspor might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Etimesgut than the current prediction. (-9.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Etimesgut that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for İnegölspor than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that İnegölspor could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
11', 0 - 1, Ozyapi F. ⚽,
45+3', 1 - 1, Mursal N. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 14 and 8).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Camlidere Sekerspor won 1.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

In this match Camlidere Sekerspor is certain favorite.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Camlidere Sekerspor won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 7-13.

Including matches at home between the teams Camlidere Sekerspor won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 2-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Etimesgut SK
Turkish Second League Red Group
28.04.24	Fethiyespor - Etimesgut	0:0 ✺
21.04.24	Etimesgut - 24 Erzincanspor	2:0 ✺
07.04.24	Arnavutköy - Etimesgut	1:1 ✺
03.04.24	Etimesgut - Isparta 32 Spor	0:1 ✺
24.03.24	Karaman Belediyespor - Etimesgut	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 TWTLL
- İnegölspor
Turkish Second League Red Group
28.04.24	İnegölspor - Arnavutköy	0:1 ✺
21.04.24	Isparta 32 Spor - İnegölspor	1:1 ✺
14.04.24	İnegölspor - Karaman Belediyespor	1:0 ✺
07.04.24	Amed SK - İnegölspor	5:2 ✺
03.04.24	İnegölspor - Derince Belediyespor	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LTWLT

Latest Head to Head

Turkish Second League Red Group
23.12.23	İnegölspor - Etimesgut	1:0
09.03.22	Etimesgut - İnegölspor	2:3
19.09.21	İnegölspor - Etimesgut	0:2
10.02.18	Etimesgut - İnegölspor	0:3
23.09.17	İnegölspor - Etimesgut	1:1
23.04.17	İnegölspor - Etimesgut	1:2
Turkish Cup
19.01.16	Etimesgut - İnegölspor	0:1

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