Match Info

TURKEY: 2. Lig Red Group - Round 36

Date: 21 April 2024, Sunday


	Etimesgut		24 Erzincanspor

	1	X	2
	2.6	3	2.45
	2.65	3.1	2.5
	2.71	3.22	2.5
	2.72	3.22	2.5
	2.7	3.15	2.54
	2.65	3	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.67 ↓ (3.37)	3.12 ↑ (3.11)	2.5 ↑ (2.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Etimesgut
34.2%

Draw
29.3%

24 Erzincanspor
36.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.4%

29.7%

42.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.5%

28.7%

44.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Etimesgut has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Etimesgut's performance.

24 Erzincanspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and 24 Erzincanspor might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Etimesgut than the current prediction. (-7.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Etimesgut that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for 24 Erzincanspor than the current prediction. (+7.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that 24 Erzincanspor could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Etimesgut - 24 Erzincanspor Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)
66', 1 - 0, Salman N. ⚽,
90+1', 2 - 0, Bora V. ⚽,

Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 14 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ 2. Lig Play Offs (Quarter~finals)).

Camlidere Sekerspor has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches 24 Erzincanspor is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Camlidere Sekerspor could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Camlidere Sekerspor won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Etimesgut SK
Turkish Second League Red Group
07.04.24	Arnavutköy - Etimesgut	1:1 ✺
03.04.24	Etimesgut - Isparta 32 Spor	0:1 ✺
24.03.24	Karaman Belediyespor - Etimesgut	2:1 ✺
17.03.24	Etimesgut - Amed SK	2:4 ✺
10.03.24	Derince Belediyespor - Etimesgut	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 TLLLL
- 24 Erzincanspor
Turkish Second League Red Group
14.04.24	24 Erzincanspor - Arnavutköy	0:0 ✺
07.04.24	Isparta 32 Spor - 24 Erzincanspor	1:1 ✺
03.04.24	24 Erzincanspor - Karaman Belediyespor	5:0 ✺
24.03.24	Amed SK - 24 Erzincanspor	4:1 ✺
17.03.24	24 Erzincanspor - Derince Belediyespor	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 TTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Turkish Second League Red Group
11.12.23	24 Erzincanspor - Etimesgut	2:0

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