Match Info

TURKEY: 2. LIG RED GROUP - ROUND 38

Date: 20 May 2023, Saturday


	Etimesgut		Serik Belediyespor

	1	X	2
	1.82	3.4	3.5
	1.97	3.3	3.2
	1.77	3.82	3.86
	1.77	3.82	3.85
	1.9	3.5	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 ↓ (2.19)	3.57 ↑ (3.2)	3.56 ↑ (3.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Etimesgut
49.1%

Draw
25.4%

Serik Belediyespor
25.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.7%

28.6%

29.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.7%

26.5%

32%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Etimesgut has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Etimesgut's performance.

Serik Belediyespor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Etimesgut than the current prediction. (-10.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Etimesgut that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Serik Belediyespor than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Serik Belediyespor could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Etimesgut - Serik Belediyespor Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 14 and 9).

Recent matches Camlidere Sekerspor is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Serik Belediyespor is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Serik Belediyespor could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Serik Belediyespor have a series of home games.

Camlidere Sekerspor will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Camlidere Sekerspor won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Camlidere Sekerspor won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Etimesgut SK
Turkish Second League Red Group
16.05.23	Kırşehir - Etimesgut	2:4 ✺
07.05.23	Etimesgut - Kocaelispor	0:3 ✺
29.04.23	Ankara Demirspor - Etimesgut	1:0 ✺
23.04.23	Etimesgut - Kastamonuspor	1:1 ✺
19.04.23	Etimesgut - Kırklarelispor	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WLLTT
- Serik Belediyespor
Turkish Second League Red Group
16.05.23	Serik Belediyespor - Karacabey Belediyespor	0:1 ✺
29.04.23	Serik Belediyespor - Iskenderunspor	1:2 ✺
23.04.23	Vanspor - Serik Belediyespor	2:2 ✺
19.04.23	Serik Belediyespor - Zonguldak Kömürspor	1:1 ✺
09.04.23	Serik Belediyespor - 1461 Trabzon	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LLTTL

Latest Head to Head

Turkish Second League Red Group
18.12.22	Serik Belediyespor - Etimesgut	3:0
07.05.22	Serik Belediyespor - Etimesgut	1:0
26.12.21	Etimesgut - Serik Belediyespor	0:1
04.03.21	Serik Belediyespor - Etimesgut	0:3
28.10.20	Etimesgut - Serik Belediyespor	2:0

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