Match Info

TURKEY: 2. Lig Red Group - Round 23

Date: 16 February 2025, Sunday


	Serik Belediyespor		Karacabey Belediyespor

	1	X	2
	1.52	3.6	5.6
	1.51	3.78	6.9
	1.5	3.77	6.36	Watch
	1.45	3.82	6.71
	1.52	3.6	5.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↑ (1.43)	3.71 ↓ (4)	6.23 ↓ (6.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Serik Belediyespor
60.8%

Draw
24.6%

Karacabey Belediyespor
14.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.6%

22.7%

13.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.8%

22.3%

13.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Serik Belediyespor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Karacabey Belediyespor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Serik Belediyespor than the current prediction. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Karacabey Belediyespor than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Serik Belediyespor - Karacabey Belediyespor Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 1)
55', 0 - 1, Balikci A. ⚽,
90+1', 1 - 1, Karadeniz G. ⚽,
90+7', 2 - 1, Celenk E. ⚽,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Serik Belediyespor won 1.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Serik Belediyespor could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Serik Belediyespor is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Serik Belediyespor won 4 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 16:11 (average 1.5:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Serik Belediyespor won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5:3 (average 1:0.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Serik Belediyespor
Turkish Second League Red Group
12.02.25	Bucaspor 1928 - Serik Belediyespor	1:0 ✺
08.02.25	Giresunspor - Serik Belediyespor	0:4 ✺
02.02.25	Serik Belediyespor - Yeni Diyarbakırspor	1:1 ✺
26.01.25	Somaspor - Serik Belediyespor	0:1 ✺
18.01.25	Serik Belediyespor - Ankara Demirspor	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LWTWT
- Karacabey Belediyespor
Turkish Second League Red Group
12.02.25	Karacabey Belediyespor - Yeni Diyarbakırspor	2:1 ✺
08.02.25	Somaspor - Karacabey Belediyespor	1:1 ✺
01.02.25	Karacabey Belediyespor - Ankara Demirspor	2:1 ✺
26.01.25	Erbaaspor - Karacabey Belediyespor	4:3 ✺
19.01.25	Karacabey Belediyespor - Arnavutköy	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Turkish Second League Red Group
05.10.24	Karacabey Belediyespor - Serik Belediyespor	1:2
Turkish Second League White Group
04.02.24	Karacabey Belediyespor - Serik Belediyespor	1:1
23.09.23	Serik Belediyespor - Karacabey Belediyespor	0:0
Turkish Second League Red Group
16.05.23	Serik Belediyespor - Karacabey Belediyespor	0:1
11.12.22	Karacabey Belediyespor - Serik Belediyespor	1:1
22.04.21	Karacabey Belediyespor - Serik Belediyespor	2:2
23.12.20	Serik Belediyespor - Karacabey Belediyespor	2:0

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