Match Info
Premier LeagueDate: 2 May 2026, SaturdayLocation: Umuganda Stadium (Gisenyi)
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Etincelles |
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Amagaju |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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2.15 |
2.72 |
3.6 |
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2.04 |
2.86 |
3.67 |
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2.05 |
2.63 |
3.8 |
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2.06 |
2.82 |
3.83 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.08 ↓
(2.57) |
2.76 ↑
(2.55) |
3.73 ↑
(3.26) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
- The best margin for this event is 10.1%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Etincelles
43.3% | Draw
32.6% | Amagaju
24.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Etincelles has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Etincelles's performance.Amagaju has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Etincelles than the current prediction. (-6.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Etincelles that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Amagaju than the current prediction. (+3.5%)Etincelles - Amagaju Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 16 and 15).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Etincelles won 1.Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.Amagaju may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Etincelles won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:6. (average 0.9:0.9).Including home matches between the teams, Etincelles won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1:1).
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 2 | Etincelles | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 7 |
| 3 | Amagaju | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:1 | 1 | 4 |
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Last Results with these Odds
Etincelles - the odds 2.57 are the expected chance of winning is 35.76%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Rwanda Premier League | | | 22.11.25 | Amagaju - Etincelles | 1:1 | | 09.02.25 | Amagaju - Etincelles | 0:1 | | 19.10.24 | Etincelles - Amagaju | 2:2 | | 20.01.24 | Etincelles - Amagaju | 0:1 | | 28.08.23 | Amagaju - Etincelles | 2:0 | | 28.04.19 | Etincelles - Amagaju | 1:0 | | 15.12.18 | Amagaju - Etincelles | 0:1 |
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