Match Info
Premier LeagueDate: 22 March 2026, Sunday
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Police |
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Etincelles |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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1.72 |
3 |
4.95 |
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 |
1.74 |
2.95 |
5.24 |
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1.7 |
2.9 |
5 |
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1.9 |
3.01 |
4.49 |
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1.71 |
3.1 |
4.7 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.75 ↑
(1.5) |
2.99 ↓
(3.5) |
4.88 ↓
(6.7) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
- The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Police
51.4% | Draw
30.1% | Etincelles
18.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Police has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Police's form might have worsened.Etincelles has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Police than the current prediction. (+11.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Police, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Etincelles than the current prediction. (-5.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Etincelles, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.Police - Etincelles Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
Preview
A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 4 and 15).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Police won 1.The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.Etincelles may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. In this match, Police is the clear favorite.In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Police won 8 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 24:10. (average 1.5:0.6).Including home matches between the teams, Police won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 21:6. (average 2.3:0.7).
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 2 | Etincelles | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 7 |
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| 8 | Police | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Rwanda Premier League | | | 20.12.25 | Etincelles - Police | 0:1 | | 27.05.25 | Police - Etincelles | 3:3 | | 04.02.24 | Police - Etincelles | 1:1 | | 17.09.23 | Etincelles - Police | 1:0 | | 29.04.23 | Etincelles - Police | 1:0 | | 21.10.22 | Police - Etincelles | 2:1 | | 23.04.22 | Etincelles - Police | 1:0 |
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