Match Info

Challenger Pro League - Round 15

Date: 28 November 2025, Friday

Location: Kehrwegstadion (Eupen)

Referee: Simonini M. (Bel)


	Eupen		Lommel

	1	X	2
	2.5	3.3	2.4	Watch
	2.62	3.45	2.45	Watch
	2.61	3.61	2.57
	2.82	3.49	2.33	Watch
	2.51	3.3	2.45	Watch
	2.5	3.4	2.54
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.59 ↓ (2.71)	3.43 ↑ (3.4)	2.46 ↑ (2.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Eupen
35.6%

Draw
26.9%

Lommel
37.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34%

27.1%

38.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34%

27.1%

38.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Eupen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Lommel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Eupen than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lommel than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	50%	30%

Eupen - Lommel Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Eupen will win (votes: 2 - 20%). Lommel will win (votes: 3 - 30%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 19% – 81%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Eupen (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Lommel (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 3 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Eupen (1.81) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 1, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Eupen (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Lommel (votes: 2 - 25%). Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Hiller M. (G) 2. Van Genechten Y. 28. Paeshuyse R. 32. Plastun I. 13. Youndje K. 27. Muller M. 15. Bares G. 22. Delaurier-Chaubet L. 66. Busquets O. 7. Nuhu I. 20. Atteri Z.	1. Ivezic N. (G) 14. Tolinsson J. 13. Banguera Riascos J. A. 5. Wouters D. 79. De Grand S. 6. Pelupessy J. 18. Lopez L. 98. Salah M. 9. van Duiven J. 10. Reyners T. 30. Seuntjens R.
Substitutes
10. Bitumazala N. 21. Bokadi M. 19. Caliskan B. 5. Gavory N. 18. Keita A. 4. Kennedy S. 33. Nurudeen A. (G) 11. Oguns A. 23. Prunier M.	3. Eyoma T. 17. Montano J. 34. Oware H. 55. Ramundo M. (G) 73. Reumers A. 8. Rommens N. 15. Schoofs L. 77. Tewelde F. 93. Vancsa Z.
Coaches
Pinheiro B.	Johnson L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
17', 0 - 1, Seuntjens R. ⚽, De Grand S. (A),
25', 1 - 1, Atteri Z. ⚽, Muller M. (A),
27', Plastun I. 🟥,
30', Tolinsson J. 🟨,
34', Busquets O. ↓, Bokadi M. ↑,
45+4', Banguera Riascos J. A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
57', Youndje K. ↓, Gavory N. ↑,
58', Atteri Z. ↓, Prunier M. ↑,
64', Tolinsson J. ↓, Schoofs L. ↑,
64', Pelupessy J. ↓, Vancsa Z. ↑,
74', Banguera Riascos J. A. ↓, Eyoma T. ↑,
79', 1 - 2, Salah M. ⚽,
79', Nuhu I. 🟨,
80', Reyners T. ↓, Oware H. ↑,
82', Muller M. ↓, Keita A. ↑,
82', Delaurier-Chaubet L. ↓, Caliskan B. ↑,
90+3', Eyoma T. 🟨,

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 7 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Promotion: ))

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Eupen won 4.

In recent matches, Eupen has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Lommel has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Recently, Eupen has had a series of away games.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Eupen won 8 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 18:7. (average 1.6:0.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Eupen won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 11:5. (average 2.2:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Lommel - the odds 2.37 are the expected chance of winning is 38.89%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KAS Eupen
Belgian Challenger Pro League
21.11.25	Beveren - Eupen	1:1 ✺
01.11.25	Gent U23 - Eupen	2:1 ✺
Belgian Cup
29.10.25	Royal Antwerp - Eupen	3:1 ✺
Belgian Challenger Pro League
25.10.25	Eupen - Genk U23	2:1 ✺
17.10.25	ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne - Eupen	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 TLLWW
- Lommel SK
Belgian Challenger Pro League
22.11.25	Kortrijk - Lommel	4:2 ✺
07.11.25	Lommel - Beveren	2:2 ✺
31.10.25	Lierse - Lommel	4:4 ✺
26.10.25	Lommel - Beerschot Wilrijk	1:2 ✺
18.10.25	Anderlecht U23 - Lommel	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LTTLT

Latest Head to Head

Belgian Challenger Pro League
01.02.25	Eupen - Lommel	3:2
19.10.24	Lommel - Eupen	1:1
Club Friendly
16.07.16	Lommel - Eupen	0:1
Belgian Challenger Pro League
02.04.16	Lommel - Eupen	0:3
01.11.15	Eupen - Lommel	2:0
17.05.15	Lommel - Eupen	0:0
14.05.15	Eupen - Lommel	1:0

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