The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Lommel 36.2%
Draw 25.8%
Beerschot Wilrijk 38%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
32.1%
26%
41.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
30.9%
25%
43.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lommel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)
Beerschot Wilrijk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lommel than the current prediction. (-5.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lommel that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Beerschot Wilrijk than the current prediction. (+5.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Beerschot Wilrijk could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
20%
20%
60%
Lommel - Beerschot Wilrijk Predictions
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Lommel will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Beerschot Wilrijk will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
23. Pieklak M. (G) 9. van Duiven J. 13. Banguera Riascos J. A. 5. Wouters D. 79. De Grand S. 93. Vancsa Z. 6. Pelupessy J. 18. Lopez L. 10. Reyners T. 15. Schoofs L. (C) 30. Seuntjens R.
33. Shinton N. (G) 2. Dagba C. 6. Van den Eynden B. 4. Plat B. 76. Gyamfi D. 18. Sanusi R. (C) 7. van La Parra R. 78. Haraguchi G. 8. Van Eenoo L. 19. Guendouz S. 15. Vula A.
Substitutes
46. Corthouts N. 3. Eyoma T. 1. Ivezic N. (G) 34. Oware H. 73. Reumers A. 8. Rommens N. 98. Salah M. 14. Tolinsson J. 11. van Duiven R.
45. Brahic E. 10. Claes G. 1. Gies X. (G) 3. Govaers M. 16. Labie A. 71. Masui K. 75. Nilton 17. Van Himbeeck A. 32. Wright-Phillips D.
Coaches
Johnson L.
Messoudi M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 1)
5', Guendouz S. 🟨,
6', van Duiven J. 🟨,
14', 1 - 0, Schoofs L. ⚽, Reyners T. (A),
15', 2 - 0, Reyners T. ⚽, Schoofs L. (A),
24', 2 - 1, Van Eenoo L. ⚽, Dagba C. (A),
31', Van den Eynden B. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
59', van Duiven J. ↓, Tolinsson J. ↑,
61', Vancsa Z. ↓, Salah M. ↑,
65', Sanusi R. ↓, Wright-Phillips D. ↑,
73', Lopez L. ↓, Rommens N. ↑,
78', van La Parra R. ↓, Masui K. ↑,
80', Guendouz S. 🟨,
85', 3 - 1, De Grand S. ⚽,
Preview
First leg.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lommel won 1.
Recent performances by Lommel have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Beerschot Wilrijk is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Lommel won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 17:23. (average 1.1:1.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Lommel won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:9. (average 1.1:1.3).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
9
Lommel SK
8
3
2
3
9:9
0
11
Last Results with these Odds
Lommel - the odds 2.88 are the expected chance of winning is 32.12%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.
Belgium
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Pieklak M. (G) 
van Duiven J. 
Banguera Riascos J. A. 
Vancsa Z. 
Pelupessy J. 
Lopez L. 
Dagba C. 
Haraguchi G. 
Vula A. 
Eyoma T. 
Ivezic N. (G) 
Oware H. 
Tolinsson J. 
Brahic E. 
Nilton 
Wright-Phillips D. 
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