Match Info

Challenger Pro League - Round 14

Date: 22 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Guldensporen Stadion (Kortrijk)

Referee: Allaerts M. (Bel)


	Kortrijk		Lommel

	1	X	2
	1.73	3.4	4	Watch
	1.8	3.7	3.95	Watch
	1.6	4.1	4.82
	1.60	4.21	4.84	Watch
	1.73	3.6	4.12	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↑ (1.6)	3.8 ↓ (4.21)	4.35 ↓ (4.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kortrijk
54.5%

Draw
24.3%

Lommel
21.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.5%

22.2%

19.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.4%

21.5%

18.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kortrijk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

Lommel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kortrijk than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Kortrijk, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lommel than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Kortrijk - Lommel Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Kortrijk will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Kortrijk (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Ilic M. (G) 36. Kohon R. 22. Ruyssen G. 5. Ndjeungoue J. 14. De Smet L. 25. Osifo M. 19. Dejaegere B. (C) 3. Anderson M. 10. Hens L. 18. van Landschoot J. 68. Ambrose T.	1. Ivezic N. (G) 13. Banguera Riascos J. A. 9. van Duiven J. 5. Wouters D. 79. De Grand S. 98. Salah M. 6. Pelupessy J. 18. Lopez L. 10. Reyners T. 30. Seuntjens R. 15. Schoofs L. (C)
Substitutes
9. Afolabi J. 8. Challouk Y. 11. Denes C. 6. De Smet L. 13. De Vlaeminck E. (G) 7. Hurtevent I. 35. Lambert B. 21. Mailula C. 49. Wirsiy Nsolo F.	27. Lalic L. 25. Lama J. 17. Montano J. 64. Ohaka D. 34. Oware H. 55. Ramundo M. (G) 73. Reumers A. 77. Tewelde F. 14. Tolinsson J.
Coaches
Jonckheere M.	Johnson L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
2', 1 - 0, van Landschoot J. ⚽, Dejaegere B. (A),
4', 1 - 1, Seuntjens R. ⚽, van Duiven J. (A),
27', Schoofs L. (Pen),
37', De Smet L. 🟨,
45', 2 - 1, Ambrose T. ⚽, Kohon R. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
58', 3 - 1, Ambrose T. ⚽, Dejaegere B. (A),
60', Salah M. ↓, Tewelde F. ↑,
70', Hens L. ↓, De Smet L. ↑,
70', Pelupessy J. ↓, Tolinsson J. ↑,
70', Dejaegere B. ↓, Lambert B. ↑,
72', Ambrose T. 🟨,
81', 3 - 2, Ruyssen G. (Own goal),
81', Osifo M. ↓, Denes C. ↑,
84', Tolinsson J. 🟨,
86', Lopez L. ↓, Montano J. ↑,
90+3', Ambrose T. ↓, Afolabi J. ↑,
90+5', 4 - 2, Afolabi J. ⚽, Denes C. (A),

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Promotion: )).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Kortrijk may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Kortrijk is a strong favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Kortrijk won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:3. (average 2.7:1).

Including home match between the teams, Kortrijk won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KV Kortrijk
Belgian Challenger Pro League
08.11.25	Kortrijk - Patro Eisden Maasmechelen	2:0 ✺
02.11.25	Beerschot Wilrijk - Kortrijk	1:2 ✺
Belgian Cup
30.10.25	Cercle Brugge - Kortrijk	1:0 ✺
Belgian Challenger Pro League
18.10.25	Gent U23 - Kortrijk	2:3 ✺
05.10.25	Kortrijk - Beveren	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WWLWL
- Lommel SK
Belgian Challenger Pro League
07.11.25	Lommel - Beveren	2:2 ✺
31.10.25	Lierse - Lommel	4:4 ✺
26.10.25	Lommel - Beerschot Wilrijk	1:2 ✺
18.10.25	Anderlecht U23 - Lommel	2:2 ✺
03.10.25	Seraing - Lommel	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 TTLTW

Latest Head to Head

Belgian Challenger Pro League
26.05.24	Kortrijk - Lommel	4:2 ET
19.05.24	Lommel - Kortrijk	0:1
Belgian Cup
02.02.21	Lommel - Kortrijk	1:3

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