Match Info

BELGIUM: JUPILER PRO LEAGUE - ROUND 5

Date: 26 August 2023, Saturday

Location: Kehrwegstadion (Eupen)

Referee: Laforge N. (Bel)


	Eupen		Oud-Heverlee Leuven

	1	X	2
	2.9	3.6	2.25	Watch
	2.75	3.75	2.38
	2.92	3.69	2.39
	2.88	3.68	2.28	Watch
	2.9	3.65	2.31
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.87 ↑ (2.77)	3.67 ↑ (3.66)	2.32 ↓ (2.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Eupen
33.1%

Draw
25.9%

Oud-Heverlee Leuven
41%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34%

25.7%

40.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.1%

26.4%

41.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Eupen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Oud-Heverlee Leuven has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

The ML Model estimate for Eupen aligns with the current prediction.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oud-Heverlee Leuven than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
30.8%	15.4%	53.8%

Eupen - Oud Heverlee Leuven Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Eupen will win (votes: 4 - 30.8%). Leuven will win (votes: 7 - 53.8%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 15.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Leuven: 26.7% – 80.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
24. Slonina G. (G) 28. Paeshuyse R. 4. Palsson V. 3. Davidson J. 15. Magnee G. 6. Baiye B. 35. Lambert B. 18. Keita A. 2. Van Genechten Y. 7. Nuhu I. 27. Finnbogason A.	16. Prevot M. (G) 52. Sagrado R. 28. Pletinckx E. 18. Miguel F. 14. Ricca F. 6. Dom J. 8. Schrijvers S. (C) 11. Banzuzi E. 7. Thorsteinsson J. 9. Brunes J. 77. Vlietinck T.
Substitutes
29. Alloh T. 10. Charles-Cook R. 23. Christie-Davies I. 14. Deom J. 25. Filin A. 21. Kral J. 33. Nurudeen A. (G)	40. Acquah D. 13. Kiyine S. 1. Leysen T. (G) 33. Maertens M. 15. Ndri K. 43. Nsingi N. 38. Ravet O. (G) 23. Schingtienne J. 3. Shlomo R.
Coaches
Kohfeldt F.	Brys M.

Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group: ) and 13 in the zone Jupiler Pro League (Relegation Group: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Eupen won 3.

Eupen is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Leuven is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Leuven could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Leuven will have a mini benefit in this match.

There will not play in Eupen: Bialek B. (Knee Injury) Bitumazala N. (Muscle Injury) Mohwald K. (Injury)

There will not play in Leuven: Mendyl H. (Red Card)

There are questionable in Eupen: Gorenc J. (Ankle Injury)

There are questionable in Leuven: Calut A. (Knee Injury) Taildeman M. (Injury)

Last 13 head-to-head matches Eupen won 3 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 21-21.

Including matches at home between the teams Eupen won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 11-11.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KAS Eupen
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
20.08.23	Kortrijk - Eupen	1:3 ✺
13.08.23	Eupen - Club Brugge	0:5 ✺
05.08.23	Genk - Eupen	0:1 ✺
29.07.23	Eupen - Westerlo	2:2 ✺
Club Friendly
22.07.23	Eupen - Olympique Marseille	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 34.4 WLWTW
- Oud-Heverlee Leuven
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
18.08.23	Oud-Heverlee Leuven - Royal Antwerp	1:1 ✺
12.08.23	Saint-Gilloise - Oud-Heverlee Leuven	5:1 ✺
05.08.23	Oud-Heverlee Leuven - RWDM Brussels	1:2 ✺
29.07.23	Charleroi - Oud-Heverlee Leuven	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
12.07.23	Oud-Heverlee Leuven - Beveren	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 TLLTW

Latest Head to Head

Belgian Jupiler Pro League
17.01.23	Oud-Heverlee Leuven - Eupen	1:1
18.10.22	Eupen - Oud-Heverlee Leuven	4:2
06.03.22	Eupen - Oud-Heverlee Leuven	3:1
21.08.21	Oud-Heverlee Leuven - Eupen	1:4
06.03.21	Eupen - Oud-Heverlee Leuven	3:3
10.08.20	Oud-Heverlee Leuven - Eupen	1:1
Club Friendly
10.07.19	Oud-Heverlee Leuven - Eupen	2:2

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