Match Info

Southern League Premier South - Round 5

Date: 29 August 2026, Saturday


	Evesham United		Plymouth Parkway

	1	X	2
	2.70	3.30	2.20
	2.75	3.30	2.20
	2.85	3.37	2.25
	2.89	3.48	2.29	Watch
	2.80	3.30	2.20
	2.74	3.79	2.27
	2.80	3.40	2.24
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.79 ↑ (2.37)	3.42 ↓ (3.55)	2.24 ↓ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Evesham United
32.6%

Draw
26.6%

Plymouth Parkway
40.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

38.3%

25.5%

36.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.5%

25.6%

36%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Evesham United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Evesham United's form might have worsened.

Plymouth Parkway has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Evesham United than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Evesham United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Plymouth Parkway than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

Evesham United - Plymouth Parkway Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
30', 0 - 1, Sullivan J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
53', 0 - 2, Neal A. ⚽,
62', 1 - 2, Bojang J. ⚽,
75', 1 - 3, Neal A. ⚽,

Preview

Recent form of Evesham has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Plymouth Parkway has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Recently, Evesham has had a series of home games.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Evesham won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).

Including home match between the teams, Evesham won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Plymouth Parkway	11	7	2	2	26:12	14	23
15	Evesham	13	4	1	8	15:26	-11	13

Outrights of English Southern League South Division for now

Plymouth Parkway: 6.29% Evesham: 0.38%

Last Results with these Odds

Plymouth Parkway - the odds 2.5 are the expected chance of winning is 36.21%, but this team recently wins 45% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Evesham United
English Southern League South Division
22.08.26	Hanworth Villa - Evesham United	4:1 ✺
15.08.26	Evesham United - Chichester City	3:0 ✺
11.08.26	Evesham United - Frome Town	0:4 ✺
Club Friendly
31.07.26	Evesham United - Bishops Cleeve	1:1 ✺
18.07.26	Evesham United - Cheltenham Town	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LWLTL
- Plymouth Parkway
English Southern League South Division
22.08.26	Plymouth Parkway - Havant & Waterlooville	2:1 ✺
15.08.26	Chippenham Town - Plymouth Parkway	3:2 ✺
11.08.26	Bath City - Plymouth Parkway	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
14.07.26	Plymouth Parkway - Torquay United	1:0 ✺
11.07.26	Plymouth Parkway - Plymouth Argyle	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.4 WLTWL

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League South Division
21.03.26	Evesham United - Plymouth Parkway	1:1
01.11.25	Plymouth Parkway - Evesham United	1:0

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