Match Info

NETHERLANDS: Eredivisie Women - Round 8

Date: 23 November 2024, Saturday

Location: Van Donge & De Roo Stadion (Rotterdam)

Where to Watch on TV:


Netherlands	Canal+, ESPN 4


	Excelsior		Fortuna Sittard

	1	X	2
	3.4	4.8	1.62
	3.3	4.8	1.7
	2.98	5.76	1.78
	3.14	5.27	1.73	Watch
	3.2	4.5	1.73
	3.94	3.9	1.7
	3.3	4.8	1.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.32 ↓ (5.86)	4.83 ↑ (4.77)	1.71 ↑ (1.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Excelsior
27.5%

Draw
18.9%

Fortuna Sittard
53.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

15.5%

19.1%

65.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.1%

16.4%

56%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Excelsior has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Excelsior's performance.

Fortuna Sittard has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Fortuna Sittard might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Excelsior than the current prediction. (-9.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Excelsior that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fortuna Sittard than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

Excelsior - Fortuna Sittard Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. van der Klooster A. (G) 7. Breewel D. 19. De Jong Y. 6. Groenewegen L. (C) 4. Helderman Y. 10. Hendriks K. 22. Homan C. 16. Lammers B. 11. Martina S. 25. Mollink Y. 3. Westerink M.	1. Dinkla C. (G) 21. Arons S. 10. Eijken L. 26. Kopp I. 19. Peereboom S. 17. Pietersma F. 9. Prins F. 3. Stoop N. 8. van Heeswijk A. (C) 24. van Wershoven R. 14. Vijfhuizen S.
Substitutes
20. de Groot J. (G) 23. de Ridder R. 2. De With L. 9. Ellouzi S. 43. Hardiek L. 24. Pereira E. 32. van der Eijk F. 5. van Goch Y. 18. van Houwelingen M. 17. Vrij N.	27. Baccarne S. (G) . Celissen E. 11. Dekker I. 5. Hilhorst D. 23. Stauffenberg B. 22. Thijs H. (G) 18. van Berlo M.
Coaches
Kreugel M.	van Lieshout G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
39', 1 - 0, Homan C. ⚽, Martina S. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', De Jong Y. ↓, van Goch Y. ↑,
57', Arons S. 🟨,
64', Breewel D. ↓, van der Eijk F. ↑,
64', Martina S. ↓, De With L. ↑,
67', Peereboom S. ↓, Dekker I. ↑,
71', De With L. 🟨,
80', Pietersma F. 🟨,
82', Eijken L. ↓, Stauffenberg B. ↑,
82', van Wershoven R. ↓, van Berlo M. ↑,
87', Helderman Y. 🟨,
88', 1 - 1, Helderman Y. (Own goal),
89', Pietersma F. ↓, Hilhorst D. ↑,
89', 🟨,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Excelsior Women
Dutch Eredivisie Women
16.11.24	Excelsior - Zwolle	0:3 ✺
09.11.24	Telstar - Excelsior	1:1 ✺
02.11.24	Excelsior - PSV Eindhoven	0:4 ✺
19.10.24	AZ Alkmaar - Excelsior	4:0 ✺
12.10.24	Twente - Excelsior	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.7 LTLLT
- Fortuna Sittard Women
Dutch Eredivisie Women
16.11.24	Fortuna Sittard - Feyenoord	0:6 ✺
10.11.24	Fortuna Sittard - AZ Alkmaar	1:3 ✺
02.11.24	Zwolle - Fortuna Sittard	0:1 ✺
19.10.24	Fortuna Sittard - Heerenveen	1:1 ✺
12.10.24	Ajax - Fortuna Sittard	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 LLWTL

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eredivisie Women
21.04.24	Excelsior - Fortuna Sittard	2:4
Dutch KNVB Beker Women
17.04.24	Excelsior - Fortuna Sittard	0:5
Dutch Eredivisie Women
01.10.23	Fortuna Sittard - Excelsior	5:0
24.03.23	Fortuna Sittard - Excelsior	3:1
04.11.22	Excelsior - Fortuna Sittard	0:5

Excelsior - Fortuna Sittard: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide