Match Info

Eredivisie Women - Round 22

Date: 22 May 2026, Friday

Location: AFAS Trainingscomplex (Wijdewormer)

Referee: van der Gugten T. (Ned)


	AZ Alkmaar		Excelsior

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.6	3.4
	1.34	5.6	7.3
	1.92	3.71	3.36	Watch
	1.36	4.5	6
	1.84	3.64	3.53	Watch
	1.34	4.5	6.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↑ (1.34)	4.26 ↓ (4.5)	5.02 ↓ (6.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

AZ Alkmaar
58.9%

Draw
22.2%

Excelsior
18.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.5%

19.8%

13.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.5%

14.7%

18.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

AZ Alkmaar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that AZ Alkmaar's form might have worsened.

Excelsior has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Excelsior's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for AZ Alkmaar than the current prediction. (-9.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with AZ Alkmaar that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Excelsior than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

AZ Alkmaar - Excelsior Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS, 1st Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Copier F. (G) 5. Mol C. 4. Woons K. 3. De Ridder D. 24. de Vries E. 22. Thomas K. 11. Kroese F. 10. van Lunteren D. (C) 18. Dessing S. 21. Van Uden J. 7. Ellouzi S.	1. van der Klooster A. (G) 21. Burgers J. 12. de Raaff J. 14. Verheijen J. 5. Cherif D. (C) 24. Haizoun D. 22. Homan C. 3. Westerink M. 11. Martina S. 9. Gomez I. 30. van de Stolpe E.
Substitutes
25. Bakker E. 1. Booms N. (G) 17. De Visser A. 12. Eloualidi A. 15. Groot P. 16. Harting A. . Kok-Kroone C. 28. Oosterhof S. 14. Op De Weegh B. A. 19. Stoop D. 6. van Beijeren J. 20. van Bentum M.	19. De Jong Y. 2. De With L. 20. Frankena S. (G) 25. Hardiek L. 23. Redouani I. 47. van de Burgt M. 32. van der Eijk F. 6. van der Vlist A. 16. van Rheenen I. (G) 17. Vrij N. 15. Yamamoto M.
Coaches
de Vogel W.	Kreugel M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
15', 1 - 0, van Lunteren D. ⚽, Kroese F. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
53', Westerink M. 🟨,
61', Ellouzi S. ↓, Bakker E. ↑,
61', Dessing S. ↓, Groot P. ↑,
61', de Vries E. ↓, van Beijeren J. ↑,
63', Homan C. ↓, van der Eijk F. ↑,
64', Gomez I. ↓, van der Vlist A. ↑,
69', Mol C. 🟨,
72', van de Stolpe E. ↓, De Jong Y. ↑,
76', Thomas K. ↓, van Bentum M. ↑,
83', Haizoun D. ↓, van de Burgt M. ↑,
84', van Bentum M. 🟨,
90+2', Kroese F. 🟨,
90+3', de Raaff J. 🟨,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 8 and 11 in the zone Relegation).

Excelsior is Relegated to

Neither of the teams is performing well right now.

In this match, AZ Alkmaar is a strong favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, AZ Alkmaar won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 13:4. (average 2.6:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, AZ Alkmaar won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1. (average 2.5:0.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	AZ Alkmaar W	7	4	0	3	9:16	-7	12

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AZ Alkmaar Women
Dutch Eredivisie Women
08.05.26	Ajax - AZ Alkmaar	3:1 ✺
03.05.26	AZ Alkmaar - Heerenveen	1:5 ✺
26.04.26	AZ Alkmaar - ADO Den Haag	1:1 ✺
05.04.26	Feyenoord - AZ Alkmaar	3:3 ✺
29.03.26	AZ Alkmaar - Utrecht	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LLTTT
- Excelsior Women
Dutch Eredivisie Women
08.05.26	Excelsior - Feyenoord	0:3 ✺
03.05.26	Excelsior - Ajax	0:2 ✺
26.04.26	Zwolle - Excelsior	4:1 ✺
22.04.26	Excelsior - NAC Breda	2:0 ✺
29.03.26	ADO Den Haag - Excelsior	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.9 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eredivisie Women
21.09.25	Excelsior - AZ Alkmaar	1:3
19.04.25	Excelsior - AZ Alkmaar	1:3
19.10.24	AZ Alkmaar - Excelsior	4:0
28.01.24	Excelsior - AZ Alkmaar	1:2
08.09.23	AZ Alkmaar - Excelsior	1:1

AZ Alkmaar - Excelsior: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide