Match Info

NETHERLANDS: Eredivisie Women - Round 6

Date: 10 November 2024, Sunday

Location: Fortuna Sittard Stadion (Sittard)

Where to Watch on TV:


Netherlands	ESPN Extra


	Fortuna Sittard		AZ Alkmaar

	1	X	2
	2.95	4.2	1.83
	3.3	4	1.83
	3.36	4.05	1.9
	3.42	4.23	1.79	Watch
	2.8	4.8	1.8
	3.36	3.68	1.89
	3.3	4	1.83
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.21 ↑ (2.41)	4.14 ↑ (3.65)	1.84 ↓ (2.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fortuna Sittard
28.4%

Draw
22%

AZ Alkmaar
49.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.4%

24.7%

37.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.4%

24.7%

37.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fortuna Sittard has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Fortuna Sittard's form might have worsened.

AZ Alkmaar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting AZ Alkmaar's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fortuna Sittard than the current prediction. (+9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Fortuna Sittard, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for AZ Alkmaar than the current prediction. (-11.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for AZ Alkmaar, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Fortuna Sittard - AZ Alkmaar Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Dinkla C. (G) 2. van Koot M. (C) 14. Vijfhuizen S. 3. Stoop N. 26. Kopp I. 8. van Heeswijk A. 9. Prins F. 24. van Wershoven R. 21. Arons S. 19. Peereboom S. 10. Eijken L.	1. Liefting F. (G) 2. Caprino G. 4. Woons K. 23. Stoop D. 15. Groot P. 20. van Bentum M. 22. Thomas K. 21. Van Uden J. 10. van Lunteren D. (C) 9. Spaan F. 11. Kroese F.
Substitutes
27. Baccarne S. (G) 23. Duijzings B. 5. Hilhorst D. 17. Pietersma F. 34. Sleebe D. 22. Thijs H. (G) 18. van Berlo M.	12. Blom R. 16. Booms N. (G) 18. Boukakar R. 6. Colin I. 3. De Ridder D. 5. Mol C. 17. Zijp I.
Coaches
van Lieshout G.	de Vogel W.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
17', 0 - 1, Woons K. ⚽, Spaan F. (A),
19', 0 - 2, van Lunteren D. ⚽, Stoop D. (A),
21', van Koot M. ↓, Pietersma F. ↑,
40', 1 - 2, Arons S. ⚽, Peereboom S. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', van Bentum M. ↓, Boukakar R. ↑,
63', Groot P. ↓, Mol C. ↑,
63', Kroese F. ↓, Colin I. ↑,
66', Mol C. 🟨,
67', Prins F. ↓, van Berlo M. ↑,
68', Peereboom S. ↓, Duijzings B. ↑,
68', Eijken L. ↓, Hilhorst D. ↑,
81', van Lunteren D. ↓, Zijp I. ↑,
84', Thomas K. ↓, De Ridder D. ↑,
90', 1 - 3, Zijp I. ⚽,
90+1', Boukakar R. 🟨,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fortuna Sittard Women
Dutch Eredivisie Women
02.11.24	Zwolle - Fortuna Sittard	0:1 ✺
19.10.24	Fortuna Sittard - Heerenveen	1:1 ✺
12.10.24	Ajax - Fortuna Sittard	5:1 ✺
05.10.24	Telstar - Fortuna Sittard	1:4 ✺
29.09.24	Fortuna Sittard - Twente	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 WTLWL
- AZ Alkmaar Women
Dutch Eredivisie Women
03.11.24	AZ Alkmaar - Telstar	0:1 ✺
19.10.24	AZ Alkmaar - Excelsior	4:0 ✺
12.10.24	ADO Den Haag - AZ Alkmaar	1:4 ✺
06.10.24	AZ Alkmaar - Ajax	1:2 ✺
29.09.24	Feyenoord - AZ Alkmaar	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 LWWLT

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eredivisie Women
09.03.24	Fortuna Sittard - AZ Alkmaar	0:1
15.12.23	AZ Alkmaar - Fortuna Sittard	1:0

Fortuna Sittard - AZ Alkmaar: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide