Match Info

NETHERLANDS: Tweede Divisie - Relegation - Semi-finals

Date: 8 June 2024, Saturday


	Excelsior Maassluis		Harkemase Boys

	1	X	2
	1.51	4.2	4.6
	1.52	4.2	5
	1.56	4.48	4.52
	1.38	3.95	8.4
	1.53	4.3	4.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↓ (1.74)	4.23 ↑ (4.1)	5.44 ↑ (3.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Excelsior Maassluis
61.3%

Draw
21.8%

Harkemase Boys
16.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.3%

22.2%

25.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.8%

24.1%

23.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Excelsior Maassluis has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Excelsior Maassluis's performance.

Harkemase Boys has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Harkemase Boys might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Excelsior Maassluis than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Harkemase Boys than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Harkemase Boys could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Excelsior Maassluis - Harkemase Boys Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Van der Kleij T. (G) 15. Eisden Y. 3. Ringeling K. 4. Urbanus G. 2. Tureaij C. 14. Fonseca G. 17. Dercks K. 19. Haars J. 18. van Delft D. 9. Wennekers B. 11. Langedijk P.	1. Spoor F. (G) 2. Hoekstra D. 3. Vermaning J. 4. Achuna I. 5. Koida D. 22. Gootjes M. 7. Postma G. 24. Betzema P. 10. Prinsen T. (C) 14. Adams J. 8. Deuling S.
Substitutes
1. Boks T. (G) 12. Kellouh O. 20. Moshtaq B. 7. Ouali R. 27. Plank D. 6. van den Beemt N.	9. Hazewinkel S. 12. Hoekstra T. (G) 20. Margaritha J. 26. Nicolai R. 15. Nicolai T. 6. Postma J. 21. Yska L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
16', Gootjes M. 🟨,
19', 0 - 1, Deuling S. ⚽,
23', 1 - 1, Urbanus G. (Pen),
43', Gootjes M. ↓, Margaritha J. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
64', van Delft D. 🟨,
65', van Delft D. ↓, Ouali R. ↑,
65', Haars J. ↓, Plank D. ↑,
65', Urbanus G. ↓, Moshtaq B. ↑,
72', Eisden Y. 🟨,
81', Deuling S. ↓, Hazewinkel S. ↑,
90', Tureaij C. 🟨,
Extra Time (1 - 0)
95', 2 - 1, Wennekers B. ⚽, Langedijk P. (A),
100', Koida D. ↓, Postma J. ↑,
105', Moshtaq B. 🟨,
105', Hoekstra D. 🟨,
105', Prinsen T. ↓, Yska L. ↑,
113', Dercks K. ↓, van den Beemt N. ↑,
117', Ouali R. 🟨,
119', Wennekers B. 🟨,
120+2', Postma G. 🟨,

Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 1-1.

Now both teams are in good shape.

Recently Harkemase Boys have a series of home games.

In this match Excelsior Maassluis is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Excelsior Maassluis won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Excelsior Maassluis
Dutch Tweede Divisie
05.06.24	Harkemase Boys - Excelsior Maassluis	1:1 ✺
01.06.24	Excelsior Maassluis - USV Hercules	3:0 ✺
29.05.24	USV Hercules - Excelsior Maassluis	1:1 ✺
25.05.24	Excelsior Maassluis - ACV	2:0 ✺
18.05.24	Jong Sparta Rotterdam - Excelsior Maassluis	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 TWTWT
- Harkemase Boys
Dutch Tweede Divisie
05.06.24	Harkemase Boys - Excelsior Maassluis	1:1 ✺
01.06.24	SteDoCo - Harkemase Boys	1:2 penalties ✺
29.05.24	Harkemase Boys - SteDoCo	1:1 ✺
Dutch Derde Divisie
25.05.24	Harkemase Boys - VVSB	3:0 ✺
11.05.24	Harkemase Boys - Sparta Nijkerk	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.5 TWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Tweede Divisie
05.06.24	Harkemase Boys - Excelsior Maassluis	1:1

Excelsior Maassluis - Harkemase Boys: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide