The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Excelsior Maassluis 46.2%
Draw 26.6%
ACV 27.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
46.3%
25.2%
28.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
40.4%
22%
32.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Excelsior Maassluis has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
ACV has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Excelsior Maassluis than the current prediction. (-5.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Excelsior Maassluis that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for ACV than the current prediction. (+5.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that ACV could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Excelsior Maassluis - ACV Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
16. El Fakiri K. (G) 2. Tureaij C. 8. Udenhout J. 3. Ringeling K. (C) 5. Overman G. 27. Plank D. 6. van Eerden J. 30. Hamd Y. 14. Verbont J. 9. Wennekers B. 11. Tavares Q.
26. Wolfs M. (G) 2. de Klerk S. 28. Bannani K. 12. Nakanishi K. 5. Mansaray E. 22. Caciano L. 14. Gootjes M. 7. Jasper G. 10. Spijkerman B. 11. Mulder J. (C) 21. Slor K.
Substitutes
26. Bronder S. 7. Dahmani K. 4. Heuvelman D. 20. Houwaart M. 24. Lopes Varela D. 17. Slagveer D. 1. Van der Kleij T. (G)
23. Abida C. 25. Broers L. 6. Hamelink M. . Mink M. 1. Runhart B. (G) 19. Smid D. 20. van der Werff T.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
33', 1 - 0, Verbont J. ⚽, Hamd Y. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
58', de Klerk S. 🟨,
62', Caciano L. ↓, Broers L. ↑,
62', Slor K. ↓, Hamelink M. ↑,
70', Verbont J. ↓, Slagveer D. ↑,
70', de Klerk S. ↓, van der Werff T. ↑,
70', Jasper G. ↓, Abida C. ↑,
74', 2 - 0, van Eerden J. ⚽,
77', van Eerden J. ↓, Heuvelman D. ↑,
78', Tavares Q. 🟨,
80', Gootjes M. ↓, Smid D. ↑,
86', Plank D. ↓, Dahmani K. ↑,
86', Wennekers B. ↓, Houwaart M. ↑,
86', Tavares Q. ↓, Lopes Varela D. ↑,
90+1', Broers L. (Pen),
Preview
We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 17 in the zone Tweede Divisie (Relegation) and 18 in the zone Relegation).
Excelsior Maassluis has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
ACV is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
Excelsior Maassluis will hold a modest advantage in this match.
In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Excelsior Maassluis won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:4. (average 1.3:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Excelsior Maassluis won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).
Watch
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El Fakiri K. (G) 
Nakanishi K. 
Caciano L. 
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