The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Excelsior Maassluis 47.4%
Draw 24.8%
Jong Sparta Rotterdam 27.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
56.5%
21.5%
22%
Our Initial ML Estimation
58.9%
22.4%
21.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Excelsior Maassluis has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Excelsior Maassluis's form might have worsened.
Jong Sparta Rotterdam has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Jong Sparta Rotterdam's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Excelsior Maassluis than the current prediction. (+11.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Excelsior Maassluis, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jong Sparta Rotterdam than the current prediction. (-6.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Jong Sparta Rotterdam, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Excelsior Maassluis - Jong Sparta Rotterdam Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Van der Kleij T. (G) 3. Ringeling K. (C) 8. Udenhout J. 4. Heuvelman D. 2. Tureaij C. 5. Overman G. 27. Plank D. 14. Verbont J. 30. Hamd Y. 17. Slagveer D. 10. Bakour M.
1. Kuiper P. (G) 2. Esser J. 3. Martes L. 4. Borrie T. 5. Vianello G. 8. Santos A. 6. Oetoehganal L. (C) 10. Oukhattou M. 9. Seedorf J. 11. el Meftahi Y. 7. Hoeve Q.
Substitutes
26. Bronder S. 20. Houwaart M. 28. Smit D. (G) 11. Tavares Q. 19. van der Velden S. 6. van Eerden J. 9. Wennekers B.
16. Bynoe J. 20. Geneugelijk I. (G) 18. Guit V. 17. Hanzen D. 12. Henry A. 19. Lourens D. 14. Mulumba G.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 2)
21', 1 - 0, Verbont J. ⚽,
29', 1 - 1, Seedorf J. ⚽, Oetoehganal L. (A),
39', 1 - 2, Santos A. ⚽, el Meftahi Y. (A),
45+1', Vianello G. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
61', Esser J. ↓, Henry A. ↑,
64', Verbont J. ↓, Houwaart M. ↑,
67', Heuvelman D. 🟨,
68', Plank D. 🟨,
71', Heuvelman D. ↓, van Eerden J. ↑,
71', Oukhattou M. ↓, Guit V. ↑,
71', el Meftahi Y. ↓, Lourens D. ↑,
74', Van der Kleij T. 🟨,
76', Lourens D. 🟨,
80', Tureaij C. ↓, Wennekers B. ↑,
80', Bakour M. ↓, Tavares Q. ↑,
85', Santos A. ↓, Hanzen D. ↑,
90+1', Wennekers B. 🟨,
90+6', 1 - 3, Hoeve Q. ⚽, Henry A. (A),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Excelsior Maassluis won 1.
Excelsior Maassluis has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Jong Sparta's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins โ 2).
In this match, Excelsior Maassluis is considered a favorite.
In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Excelsior Maassluis won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 18:26. (average 1.1:1.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Excelsior Maassluis won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:13. (average 1.1:1.4).
Watch
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Van der Kleij T. (G) 
Oukhattou M. 
Hoeve Q. 
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