Match Info

Derde Divisie - Round 9

Date: 10 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Excelsior Maassluis		TOGB

	1	X	2
	1.60	3.80	4.20
	1.65	3.75	4
	1.62	3.68	3.8
	1.73	4.08	3.72	Watch
	1.58	3.6	3.7
	1.61	3.84	4.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↓ (1.85)	3.79 ↓ (4.22)	3.97 ↑ (3.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Excelsior Maassluis
54.3%

Draw
23.4%

TOGB
22.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

49.4%

21.7%

28.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Excelsior Maassluis has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

TOGB has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and TOGB might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Excelsior Maassluis - TOGB Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

(3 - 2)

Preview

This match features one of the top teams against an opponent battling near the bottom (ranked 4th in the Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Promotion: ) and 14th).

TOGB has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Excelsior Maassluis could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Recently, TOGB has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Excelsior Maassluis holding a narrow advantage.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Excelsior Maassluis has recorded 1 win, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 4:1 (averaging 2:0.5 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Excelsior Maassluis against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 4:1 goals (averaging 2:0.5 per game).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Excelsior Maassluis
Dutch KNVB Beker
22.09.26	Sportlust 46 - Excelsior Maassluis	0:2 ✺
Dutch Derde Divisie
05.09.26	Excelsior Maassluis - Noordwijk	0:0 ✺
Dutch KNVB Beker
01.09.26	ADO 20 Heemskerk - Excelsior Maassluis	1:2 penalties ✺
Dutch Derde Divisie
15.08.26	UDI 19 - Excelsior Maassluis	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
11.07.26	Excelsior Maassluis - TOGB	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.6 WTWTW
- TOGB
Dutch Derde Divisie
03.10.26	TOGB - Roosendaal	4:3 ✺
Dutch KNVB Beker
23.09.26	TOGB - Rohda Raalte	4:6 ✺
Dutch Derde Divisie
19.09.26	TOGB - Noordwijk	0:3 ✺
12.09.26	Lisse - TOGB	3:2 ✺
Dutch KNVB Beker
02.09.26	TOGB - Katwijk	3:2 ET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
11.07.26	Excelsior Maassluis - TOGB	3:0
30.07.24	Excelsior Maassluis - TOGB	1:1

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Excelsior Maassluis
Dutch KNVB Beker
28.10.26	Excelsior Maassluis - Heerenveen	✺

Excelsior Maassluis - TOGB