Match Info

KNVB Beker - 1/64-finals

Date: 22 September 2026, Tuesday


	Sportlust 46		Excelsior Maassluis

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.9	2.05
	2.90	3.40	2.10
	3.2	3.4	2.02
	3.1	3.34	1.99
	3.12	3.63	2.04	Watch
	3	3.25	1.95
	3.13	3.44	2.02
	3.1	3.8	2.07
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.08 ↑ (2.48)	3.52 ↓ (3.9)	2.03 ↓ (2.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sportlust 46
29.5%

Draw
25.8%

Excelsior Maassluis
44.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.1%

23.6%

39.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sportlust 46 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sportlust 46's form might have worsened.

Excelsior Maassluis has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Excelsior Maassluis's recent form is better than expected.

Sportlust 46 - Excelsior Maassluis Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
20', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
55', 0 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, Sportlust has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 3:4 (averaging 1:1.3 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Sportlust against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 3:2 goals (averaging 1.5:1 per game).

Last Results with these Odds

Excelsior Maassluis - the odds 2.34 are the expected chance of winning is 39.32%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sportlust 46
Dutch KNVB Beker
01.09.26	Sportlust 46 - Blauw Geel 38	3:1 ✺
Dutch Derde Divisie
15.08.26	Sparta Nijkerk - Sportlust 46	3:3 ✺
23.05.26	Harkemase Boys - Sportlust 46	4:1 ✺
11.04.26	Hoogeveen - Sportlust 46	3:2 ✺
04.04.26	Staphorst - Sportlust 46	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.1 WTLLW
- Excelsior Maassluis
Dutch Derde Divisie
05.09.26	Excelsior Maassluis - Noordwijk	0:0 ✺
Dutch KNVB Beker
01.09.26	ADO 20 Heemskerk - Excelsior Maassluis	1:2 penalties ✺
Dutch Derde Divisie
15.08.26	UDI 19 - Excelsior Maassluis	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
11.07.26	Excelsior Maassluis - TOGB	3:0 ✺
Dutch Tweede Divisie
13.06.26	IJsselmeervogels - Excelsior Maassluis	2:0 AET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 TWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
06.08.24	Sportlust 46 - Excelsior Maassluis	0:1
08.08.23	Excelsior Maassluis - Sportlust 46	2:0
03.08.21	Sportlust 46 - Excelsior Maassluis	3:1

Sportlust 46 - Excelsior Maassluis: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide