Match Info

Date: 18 September 2022, Sunday

Location: Stade Yvan Georges (Virton)

Referee: Allaerts M. (Bel)


	Excelsior Virton		Beerschot Wilrijk

	1	X	2
	3.6	3.5	1.8	Watch
	3.6	3.4	1.83
	3.35	3.6	1.98	Watch
	3.55	3.55	1.9
	3.95	3.74	1.9
	3.9	3.25	1.85
	3.72	3.6	1.91	Watch
	3.6	3.6	1.92
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.66 ↑ (3.13)	3.53 ↑ (3.41)	1.89 ↓ (2.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Excelsior Virton
25.1%

Draw
26.1%

Beerschot Wilrijk
48.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.3%

26.9%

43.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.9%

26.5%

44.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Excelsior Virton has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

Beerschot Wilrijk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Beerschot Wilrijk's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Excelsior Virton than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Beerschot Wilrijk than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	28.6%	57.1%

Excelsior Virton - Beerschot Wilrijk Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Virton will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Beerschot Wilrijk will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 7 in the zone Challenger Pro League (Relegation Group) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Challenger Pro League (Promotion Group)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Virton won 3.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Beerschot Wilrijk could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Beerschot Wilrijk will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Virton won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 9-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Virton won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Excelsior Virton
Belgian Challenger Pro League
11.09.22	Genk U23 - Excelsior Virton	0:1 ✺
04.09.22	Excelsior Virton - Dender EH	1:1 ✺
27.08.22	Deinze - Excelsior Virton	1:1 ✺
20.08.22	Beveren - Excelsior Virton	2:2 ✺
12.08.22	Excelsior Virton - RWDM Brussels	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 29.6 WTTTT
- FCO Beerschot Wilrijk
Belgian Challenger Pro League
09.09.22	Beerschot Wilrijk - Lommel	0:2 ✺
03.09.22	Brugge U23 - Beerschot Wilrijk	1:2 ✺
28.08.22	Beerschot Wilrijk - K Lyra-Lierse Berlaar	2:3 ✺
19.08.22	Standard Liège U23 - Beerschot Wilrijk	2:2 ✺
13.08.22	Beerschot Wilrijk - Beveren	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LWLTW

Latest Head to Head

Belgian Challenger Pro League
02.03.20	Excelsior Virton - Beerschot Wilrijk	1:0
07.12.19	Beerschot Wilrijk - Excelsior Virton	1:1
19.10.19	Beerschot Wilrijk - Excelsior Virton	2:1
21.09.19	Excelsior Virton - Beerschot Wilrijk	3:0
Belgian National Division 1
20.05.17	Excelsior Virton - Beerschot Wilrijk	2:0
06.05.17	Beerschot Wilrijk - Excelsior Virton	3:1
28.01.17	Beerschot Wilrijk - Excelsior Virton	3:0

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