Match Info

BELGIUM: CHALLENGER PRO LEAGUE - RELEGATION GROUP - ROUND 7

Date: 16 April 2023, Sunday

Location: Stade Yvan Georges (Virton)

Referee: Allaerts M. (Bel)


	Excelsior Virton		Dender EH

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.3	2.9	Watch
	2.3	3.1	2.7
	2.48	3.25	2.75
	2.34	3.38	3.12
	2.35	3.1	2.88
	2.31	3.28	2.97	Watch
	2.31	3.25	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.33 ↓ (2.54)	3.24 ↓ (3.34)	2.88 ↑ (2.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Excelsior Virton
39.5%

Draw
28.5%

Dender EH
32%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.8%

28%

35.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.4%

28.5%

34.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Excelsior Virton has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Dender EH has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Excelsior Virton than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dender EH than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	0%	60%

Excelsior Virton - Dender EH Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Virton will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Dender EH will win (votes: 3 - 60%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Virton won 1.

Recent matches Virton is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Dender EH is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Dender EH could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Virton won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 15-13.

Including matches at home between the teams Virton won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Excelsior Virton
Belgian Challenger Pro League
09.04.23	Excelsior Virton - Lommel	0:1 ✺
02.04.23	Lommel - Excelsior Virton	1:2 ✺
Club Friendly
24.03.23	RWDM Brussels - Excelsior Virton	0:0 ✺
Belgian Challenger Pro League
17.03.23	Genk U23 - Excelsior Virton	1:1 ✺
11.03.23	Excelsior Virton - Standard Liège U23	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.6 LWTTW
- FCV Dender EH
Belgian Challenger Pro League
07.04.23	Genk U23 - Dender EH	0:4 ✺
31.03.23	Dender EH - Genk U23	1:0 ✺
19.03.23	Standard Liège U23 - Dender EH	1:1 ✺
10.03.23	Dender EH - Deinze	1:0 ✺
03.03.23	Lommel - Dender EH	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.5 WWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Belgian Challenger Pro League
24.02.23	Dender EH - Excelsior Virton	2:1
21.01.23	Dender EH - Excelsior Virton	3:4
04.09.22	Excelsior Virton - Dender EH	1:1
Belgian National Division 1
30.03.19	Dender EH - Excelsior Virton	2:1
01.12.18	Excelsior Virton - Dender EH	0:2
07.04.18	Dender EH - Excelsior Virton	0:2
31.03.18	Excelsior Virton - Dender EH	0:1

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