The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Excelsior Virton 15.9%
Draw 21.5%
Beveren 62.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
22.7%
23.9%
53.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
22.1%
23.2%
54.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Excelsior Virton has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Excelsior Virton's form might have worsened.
Beveren has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Beveren's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Excelsior Virton than the current prediction. (+6.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Excelsior Virton, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Beveren than the current prediction. (-7.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Beveren, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
6.7%
0%
93.3%
Excelsior Virton - Beveren Predictions
Users Predictions:
Beveren will win
(14 of 15 users predict this - 93.33%). Confidence interval (95%): 80.7% โ 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2
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Preview
This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 12 in the zone Challenger Pro League (Relegation Group) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Challenger Pro League (Promotion Group)).
Virton has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Beveren is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Virton could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match Beveren is a favorite.
Last 5 head-to-head matches Virton won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 6-16.
Including matches at home between the teams Virton won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0-7.
Watch
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