Match Info

BELGIUM: CHALLENGER PRO LEAGUE - ROUND 13

Date: 12 November 2022, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Olympisch Stadion (Antwerp) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Stevens T. (Bel)


	Beerschot Wilrijk		Excelsior Virton

	1	X	2
	1.36	4.5	6.5
	1.35	4.5	6.75
	1.4	4.7	6.5
	1.37	4.6	6.8
	1.4	4.91	7.54
	1.36	4.2	7.5
	1.38	4.8	7.3
	1.36	4.6	6.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.37 ↓ (1.51)	4.6 ↑ (4.05)	6.96 ↑ (5.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Beerschot Wilrijk
66.9%

Draw
19.9%

Excelsior Virton
13.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

60.1%

22.4%

17.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.8%

21.8%

17%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Beerschot Wilrijk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Beerschot Wilrijk's performance.

Excelsior Virton has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Beerschot Wilrijk than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Beerschot Wilrijk that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Excelsior Virton than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	0%	40%

Beerschot Wilrijk - Excelsior Virton Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Beerschot Wilrijk will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Virton will win (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Challenger Pro League (Promotion Group) and 11 in the zone Challenger Pro League (Relegation Group)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Beerschot Wilrijk won 2.

Recent matches Beerschot Wilrijk is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Virton has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Beerschot Wilrijk could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Beerschot Wilrijk is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Beerschot Wilrijk won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 11-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Beerschot Wilrijk won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 9-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FCO Beerschot Wilrijk
Belgian Cup
09.11.22	Cercle Brugge - Beerschot Wilrijk	3:1 ✺
Belgian Challenger Pro League
06.11.22	Lommel - Beerschot Wilrijk	1:3 ✺
29.10.22	Beerschot Wilrijk - Anderlecht U23	1:2 ✺
22.10.22	Genk U23 - Beerschot Wilrijk	1:2 ✺
16.10.22	Beerschot Wilrijk - Dender EH	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LWLWT
- Excelsior Virton
Belgian Challenger Pro League
05.11.22	Excelsior Virton - Deinze	0:1 ✺
28.10.22	Lommel - Excelsior Virton	3:1 ✺
21.10.22	Standard Liège U23 - Excelsior Virton	2:1 ✺
15.10.22	Excelsior Virton - K Lyra-Lierse Berlaar	0:0 ✺
07.10.22	Anderlecht U23 - Excelsior Virton	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Belgian Challenger Pro League
18.09.22	Excelsior Virton - Beerschot Wilrijk	1:2
02.03.20	Excelsior Virton - Beerschot Wilrijk	1:0
07.12.19	Beerschot Wilrijk - Excelsior Virton	1:1
19.10.19	Beerschot Wilrijk - Excelsior Virton	2:1
21.09.19	Excelsior Virton - Beerschot Wilrijk	3:0
Belgian National Division 1
20.05.17	Excelsior Virton - Beerschot Wilrijk	2:0
06.05.17	Beerschot Wilrijk - Excelsior Virton	3:1

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FCO Beerschot Wilrijk
Belgian Challenger Pro League
31.10.26	Beerschot Wilrijk - Francs Borains	✺
- Excelsior Virton
Belgian Challenger Pro League
01.11.26	Eupen - Excelsior Virton	✺

Beerschot Wilrijk - Excelsior Virton