Match Info

BELGIUM: CHALLENGER PRO LEAGUE - ROUND 15

Date: 27 November 2022, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Het Lisp (Lier) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Bourdeaud'hui S. (Bel)


	K Lyra-Lierse Berlaar		Excelsior Virton

	1	X	2
	1.57	4.33	4.2
	1.57	3.9	4.5
	1.57	4.1	5
	1.59	4.2	4.5
	1.59	4.41	5.17
	1.57	3.8	5
	1.6	4.25	4.8
	1.58	4.1	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↑ (1.54)	4.14 ↑ (4.07)	4.71 ↓ (4.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

K Lyra-Lierse Berlaar
58.2%

Draw
22.2%

Excelsior Virton
19.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

59.3%

22.4%

18.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.1%

14.4%

28.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

K Lyra-Lierse Berlaar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Excelsior Virton has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for K Lyra-Lierse Berlaar than the current prediction. (-20.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with K Lyra-Lierse Berlaar that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Excelsior Virton than the current prediction. (+9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Excelsior Virton could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
62.5%	12.5%	25%

K Lyra Lierse Berlaar - Excelsior Virton Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. K Lyra-Lierse will win (votes: 10 - 62.5%). Virton will win (votes: 4 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for K Lyra-Lierse: 38.8% – 86.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches K Lyra-Lierse Berlaar won 1.

K Lyra-Lierse Berlaar is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Virton has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

K Lyra-Lierse Berlaar could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match K Lyra-Lierse Berlaar is a favorite.

Last 9 head-to-head matches K Lyra-Lierse Berlaar won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 9-15.

Including matches at home between the teams K Lyra-Lierse Berlaar won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- K Lyra-Lierse Berlaar
Belgian Challenger Pro League
20.11.22	Deinze - K Lyra-Lierse Berlaar	2:1 ✺
13.11.22	K Lyra-Lierse Berlaar - Beveren	1:5 ✺
Belgian Cup
10.11.22	K Lyra-Lierse Berlaar - Anderlecht	2:3 penalties ✺
Belgian Challenger Pro League
06.11.22	K Lyra-Lierse Berlaar - Genk U23	4:2 ✺
30.10.22	RWDM Brussels - K Lyra-Lierse Berlaar	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLLWL
- Excelsior Virton
Belgian Challenger Pro League
18.11.22	Excelsior Virton - Standard Liège U23	0:2 ✺
12.11.22	Beerschot Wilrijk - Excelsior Virton	3:0 ✺
05.11.22	Excelsior Virton - Deinze	0:1 ✺
28.10.22	Lommel - Excelsior Virton	3:1 ✺
21.10.22	Standard Liège U23 - Excelsior Virton	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Belgian Challenger Pro League
15.10.22	Excelsior Virton - K Lyra-Lierse Berlaar	0:0
17.04.22	K Lyra-Lierse Berlaar - Excelsior Virton	1:1
12.12.21	Excelsior Virton - K Lyra-Lierse Berlaar	2:2
16.10.21	Excelsior Virton - K Lyra-Lierse Berlaar	2:1
22.08.21	K Lyra-Lierse Berlaar - Excelsior Virton	2:0
Belgian National Division 1
22.05.19	K Lyra-Lierse Berlaar - Excelsior Virton	0:4
11.05.19	Excelsior Virton - K Lyra-Lierse Berlaar	3:1

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Excelsior Virton
Belgian Challenger Pro League
01.11.26	Eupen - Excelsior Virton	✺

K Lyra-Lierse Berlaar - Excelsior Virton