Match Info

BELGIUM: NATIONAL DIVISION 1 - ROUND 14

Date: 25 November 2023, Saturday


	Excelsior Virton		Lokeren

	1	X	2
	3.8	3.57	1.94
	3.8	3.57	1.89
	3.58	3.58	1.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.73 ↓ (4.39)	3.57 ↓ (3.86)	1.89 ↑ (1.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Excelsior Virton
24.9%

Draw
26%

Lokeren
49.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.1%

24%

54.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.1%

24%

55%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Excelsior Virton has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

Lokeren has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lokeren might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Excelsior Virton than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lokeren than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lokeren could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Excelsior Virton - Lokeren Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 11 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Challenger Pro League).

Virton is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Lokeren-Temse in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

In this match Lokeren-Temse is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Excelsior Virton
Belgian National Division 1
19.11.23	Leuven B - Excelsior Virton	0:2 ✺
11.11.23	Excelsior Virton - RAAL La Louvière	2:2 ✺
05.11.23	Hoogstraten - Excelsior Virton	3:2 ✺
28.10.23	Excelsior Virton - Thes Sport	0:1 ✺
21.10.23	Excelsior Virton - Namur	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WTLLL
- KSC Lokeren
Belgian National Division 1
18.11.23	Lokeren - Namur	3:1 ✺
12.11.23	Knokke - Lokeren	1:2 ✺
04.11.23	Lokeren - Cappellen	2:1 ✺
29.10.23	Royal Antwerp 2 - Lokeren	0:1 ✺
21.10.23	Heist - Lokeren	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WWWWW

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