Match Info

National Division 1 - ACFF - Round 16

Date: 6 December 2025, Saturday

Location: Stade Yvan Georges (Virton)


	Excelsior Virton		Standard Liège U23

	1	X	2
	1.39	4.45	6.1
	1.4	4.74	6.74
	1.39	4.78	6.38	Watch
	1.37	4.35	7.04
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.39 ↑ (1.34)	4.58 ↓ (5)	6.57 ↑ (6.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Excelsior Virton
66%

Draw
20%

Standard Liège U23
14%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.4%

18.1%

14.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.7%

16.8%

13.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Excelsior Virton has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Standard Liège U23 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Excelsior Virton than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Excelsior Virton, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Standard Liège U23 than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Excelsior Virton - Standard Liège U23 Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Virton (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
16', 0 - 1, ⚽,
35', 1 - 1, ⚽,
42', 2 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
50', 3 - 1, ⚽,
80', 4 - 1, ⚽,
88', 5 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ National Division 1 ~ ACFF (Promotion Group: ) and 12 in the zone National Division 1 ~ ACFF (Relegation Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Virton won 4.

Virton has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Standard U23 has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Virton is the undeniable favorite.

We predict that Virton will win today's game, with odds of 1.39.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Virton won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:9. (average 1.6:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Virton won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 1.3:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Excelsior Virton
Belgian National Division 1 ACFF
29.11.25	Meux - Excelsior Virton	1:1 ✺
23.11.25	Crossing Schaerbeek - Excelsior Virton	1:3 ✺
15.11.25	Excelsior Virton - Stockay-Warfusée	2:0 ✺
09.11.25	Union Rochefortoise - Excelsior Virton	0:4 ✺
01.11.25	Excelsior Virton - Mons	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.4 TWWWW
- Standard Liège U23
Belgian National Division 1 ACFF
30.11.25	Standard Liège U23 - Tubize	1:2 ✺
22.11.25	Royale Union SG 2 - Standard Liège U23	2:1 ✺
16.11.25	Standard Liège U23 - Mons	0:2 ✺
09.11.25	Crossing Schaerbeek - Standard Liège U23	1:1 ✺
01.11.25	Standard Liège U23 - Charleroi B	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Belgian National Division 1 ACFF
12.10.25	Standard Liège U23 - Excelsior Virton	2:3
01.02.25	Excelsior Virton - Standard Liège U23	3:1
28.08.24	Standard Liège U23 - Excelsior Virton	1:2
Belgian Challenger Pro League
05.05.23	Standard Liège U23 - Excelsior Virton	1:1
11.03.23	Excelsior Virton - Standard Liège U23	1:0
18.11.22	Excelsior Virton - Standard Liège U23	0:2
21.10.22	Standard Liège U23 - Excelsior Virton	2:1

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