Match Info

ARGENTINA: PRIMERA C - ROUND 22

Date: 16 June 2023, Friday


	Excursionistas		Club Luján

	1	X	2
	1.58	3.25	5.5
	1.55	3.4	6
	1.58	3.49	6.53
	1.57	3.25	6
	1.58	3.52	5.9
	1.61	3.25	5.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↓ (1.81)	3.36 ↑ (3.17)	5.96 ↑ (4.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Excursionistas
57.6%

Draw
27.1%

Club Luján
15.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.5%

28.8%

20.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.5%

27.7%

19.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Excursionistas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Excursionistas's performance.

Club Luján has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Club Luján might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Excursionistas than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Excursionistas that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Club Luján than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	50%	0%

Excursionistas - Club Luján Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Excursionistas will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

The great teams are gonna meet at this game. The most expected match between two teams from the very top of the group (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera C (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera C (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Excursionistas won 2.

Excursionistas in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Club Luján is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Excursionistas is a favorite.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Excursionistas won 5 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 14-13.

Including matches at home between the teams Excursionistas won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Excursionistas
Argentinian Primera C
10.06.23	Real Pilar - Excursionistas	2:3 ✺
05.06.23	Excursionistas - Liniers	3:0 ✺
27.05.23	Excursionistas - Central Córdoba de Rosario	2:0 ✺
21.05.23	Justo José de Urquiza - Excursionistas	1:1 ✺
12.05.23	Excursionistas - General Lamadrid	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 WWWTW
- Club Luján
Argentinian Primera C
12.06.23	Club Luján - Deportivo Laferrere	1:0 ✺
03.06.23	Victoriano Arenas - Club Luján	0:0 ✺
29.05.23	Leandro N. Alem - Club Luján	0:0 ✺
21.05.23	Club Luján - Atlas General Rodríguez	1:2 ✺
15.05.23	Deportivo Yupanqui - Club Luján	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WTTLW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera C
13.02.23	Club Luján - Excursionistas	0:1
21.08.22	Club Luján - Excursionistas	1:1
17.04.22	Excursionistas - Club Luján	2:2
13.08.21	Excursionistas - Club Luján	1:1
28.03.21	Club Luján - Excursionistas	1:3
12.01.21	Excursionistas - Club Luján	2:1
02.12.19	Excursionistas - Club Luján	0:1

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