Match Info

Primera B - Round 17

Date: 22 May 2026, Friday

Location: Excursionistas Stadium (Buenos Aires)


	Excursionistas		Liniers

	1	X	2
	1.95	2.88	3.95	Watch
	1.94	2.93	4.15
	2.01	2.77	4.28	Watch
	2	2.75	4
	1.89	2.89	4.45	Watch
	1.92	2.9	3.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.95 ↑ (1.89)	2.85 ↓ (3.25)	4.11 ↑ (3.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Excursionistas
46.3%

Draw
31.7%

Liniers
22%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.3%

28.1%

23.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.9%

27.9%

23.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Excursionistas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Liniers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Excursionistas than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Liniers than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Excursionistas - Liniers Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Rodriguez N. (G) 11. Alaniz M. 3. Arango M. 8. Avalos A. 10. Blanco M. 7. Espeche A. 4. Fernandez M. 2. Igarzabal H. 6. Pedrosa G. 9. Polvera M. 5. Zoratti G.	1. De Feliche C. (G) 4. Di Motta R. 11. Fernandez G. 2. Formichelli S. 10. Gridel M. 3. Mackay G. 8. Palacio S. 6. Pereyra E. 9. Rodriguez C. 5. Roth J. 7. Venetucci V.
Substitutes
12. Blengio M. (G) 19. Cardozo M. 16. Damiolini N. 13. Maizarez I. 14. Paulides A. 17. Pereyra J. 15. Rodriguez G. 20. Tellas G. 18. Zapata V.	17. Auzqui D. 13. Bouvier J. 14. Canosa J. 16. Gallegos E. 20. Linas M. 18. Penoni A. 15. Rodon F. 12. Rotundo M. (G) 19. Sallaberry I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
2', Pedrosa G. 🟨,
7', Fernandez G. 🟨,
12', 1 - 0, Polvera M. ⚽,
28', Roth J. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
46', Venetucci V. ↓, Linas M. ↑,
46', Mackay G. ↓, Penoni A. ↑,
52', 2 - 0, Polvera M. ⚽,
56', Rodriguez C. 🟨,
59', 3 - 0, Blanco M. ⚽,
60', Alaniz M. ↓, Pereyra J. ↑,
60', Espeche A. ↓, Damiolini N. ↑,
68', Fernandez G. ↓, Canosa J. ↑,
69', 3 - 1, Canosa J. ⚽,
69', Polvera M. ↓, Tellas G. ↑,
70', Blanco M. ↓, Zapata V. ↑,
72', Avalos A. ↓, Paulides A. ↑,
88', Sallaberry I. 🟨,
90+1', Formichelli S. 🟨,
90+3', 4 - 1, Zapata V. ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera B (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 12).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Excursionistas won 3.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

In this match, Excursionistas is a strong favorite.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Excursionistas won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:4. (average 1.1:0.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Excursionistas won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1. (average 1.3:0.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Excursionistas	38	22	8	8	59:30	29	74
17	Liniers	38	10	13	15	31:39	-8	43

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Excursionistas
Argentinian Primera B
16.05.26	Real Pilar - Excursionistas	0:1 ✺
08.05.26	Excursionistas - UAI Urquiza	0:0 ✺
02.05.26	Villa Dálmine - Excursionistas	1:0 ✺
25.04.26	Ituzaingó - Excursionistas	1:3 ✺
17.04.26	Excursionistas - Arsenal Sarandí	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WTLWL
- CSD Liniers
Argentinian Primera B
16.05.26	Liniers - Arsenal Sarandí	0:0 ✺
09.05.26	Argentino de Merlo - Liniers	0:1 ✺
03.05.26	Liniers - Talleres de Remedios de Escalada	0:1 ✺
26.04.26	Deportivo Laferrere - Liniers	0:0 ✺
19.04.26	Liniers - Brown de Adrogué	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 TWLTW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera B
12.10.25	Liniers - Excursionistas	1:0
11.06.25	Excursionistas - Liniers	1:0
29.06.24	Excursionistas - Liniers	0:0
13.02.24	Liniers - Excursionistas	0:1
Argentinian Primera C
05.06.23	Excursionistas - Liniers	3:0
28.01.23	Liniers - Excursionistas	2:1
16.07.22	Liniers - Excursionistas	0:2

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