Match Info

Primera B - Round 16

Date: 16 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Municipal de Pilar-Carlos Barraza (Buenos Aires)


	Real Pilar		Excursionistas

	1	X	2
	2.15	2.78	3.5	Watch
	2.15	2.84	3.85
	2.27	2.5	3.96	Watch
	2.15	2.63	3.7
	2.14	2.71	3.79
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.17 ↓ (2.28)	2.69 ↓ (2.8)	3.76 ↑ (3.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Pilar
41.9%

Draw
33.8%

Excursionistas
24.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.2%

32.7%

27.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.4%

31.8%

26.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Pilar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Excursionistas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Pilar than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Excursionistas than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

Real Pilar - Excursionistas Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Excursionistas (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Excursionistas (1.65) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1.5 - Excursionistas (1.13) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Excursionistas (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Perafan P. (G) 6. Achucarro D. 4. Basualdo N. 7. Cesar J. 11. Crocco M. (C) 8. Escurra N. 3. Franco E. 2. Govi G. 10. Mancini V. 9. Riquelme M. D. 5. Rojas M.	1. Rodriguez N. (G) 11. Alaniz M. 3. Arango M. 8. Avalos A. 10. Blanco M. 7. Espeche A. 4. Fernandez M. 2. Igarzabal H. 6. Pedrosa G. 9. Polvera M. 5. Zoratti G. (C)
Substitutes
20. Avalos N. 16. Cardozo Lacoste F. E. 19. Garcia P. 14. Leguiza D. 18. Martinez F. 15. Pansardi F. 12. Sanchez S. (G) 13. Vega L. 17. Vergara D.	12. Blengio M. (G) 19. Cardozo M. 15. Damiolini N. 16. Lopez M. 13. Maizarez I. 14. Paulides A. 17. Pereyra J. 20. Tellas G. 18. Valenzuela A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Crocco M. ↓, Martinez F. ↑,
56', Escurra N. 🟨,
57', Fernandez M. 🟨,
58', 0 - 1, Polvera M. ⚽,
65', Alaniz M. ↓, Paulides A. ↑,
71', Espeche A. ↓, Pereyra J. ↑,
71', Avalos A. ↓, Lopez M. ↑,
73', Mancini V. ↓, Garcia P. ↑,
73', Basualdo N. ↓, Leguiza D. ↑,
74', 🟨,
75', 🟨,
77', 🟨,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera B (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera B (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Real Pilar won 2.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Real Pilar may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Real Pilar is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Real Pilar won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 12:15. (average 1.2:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Real Pilar won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:8. (average 1.8:1.6).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Excursionistas	38	22	8	8	59:30	29	74
7	Real Pilar	38	17	10	11	42:38	4	61

Last Results with these Odds

Real Pilar - the odds 2.28 are the expected chance of winning is 40.18%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Pilar FC
Argentinian Primera B
10.05.26	Arsenal Sarandí - Real Pilar	2:1 ✺
02.05.26	Real Pilar - Argentino de Merlo	1:1 ✺
26.04.26	Talleres de Remedios de Escalada - Real Pilar	0:0 ✺
18.04.26	Real Pilar - Deportivo Laferrere	1:0 ✺
14.04.26	Brown de Adrogué - Real Pilar	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LTTWT
- CA Excursionistas
Argentinian Primera B
08.05.26	Excursionistas - UAI Urquiza	0:0 ✺
02.05.26	Villa Dálmine - Excursionistas	1:0 ✺
25.04.26	Ituzaingó - Excursionistas	1:3 ✺
17.04.26	Excursionistas - Arsenal Sarandí	0:1 ✺
14.04.26	Argentino de Merlo - Excursionistas	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 TLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera B
16.08.25	Real Pilar - Excursionistas	1:2
30.03.25	Excursionistas - Real Pilar	0:0
Argentinian Primera C
10.06.23	Real Pilar - Excursionistas	2:3
06.02.23	Excursionistas - Real Pilar	1:2
24.09.22	Real Pilar - Excursionistas	3:1
22.05.22	Excursionistas - Real Pilar	2:0
06.11.21	Real Pilar - Excursionistas	2:1

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