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Current Win Probability
Exeter City 30.2%
Draw 28.5%
Blackpool 41.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
29.6%
27.7%
42.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
28.5%
28.8%
44.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Exeter City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
Blackpool has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Exeter City than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Blackpool than the current prediction. (+3%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
33.3%
16.7%
50%
Exeter City - Blackpool Predictions
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Exeter will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Blackpool will win (votes: 3 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).
1. Whitworth J. (G) 4. Turns E. 5. Fitzwater J. 16. Swinkels S. 2. McMillan J. 12. Cole R. (C) 31. Doyle-Hayes J. 14. Niskanen I. 10. Aitchison J. 6. Brierley E. 9. Wareham J.
1. Peacock-Farrell B. (G) 2. Lyons A. 4. Casey O. 20. Ihiekwe M. 15. Coulson H. 10. Honeyman G. 7. Evans L. (C) 6. Brown J. 29. Hansson E. 11. Fletcher A. 9. Ennis N.
Substitutes
42. Birch G. 23. Bycroft J. (G) 19. Cox S. 45. Cummins C. 33. Dean T. 27. Magennis J. 29. McDonald K.
26. Ashworth Z. 14. Bloxham T. 17. Ebiowei M. 28. Finnigan R. 22. Hamilton C. 25. Ravizzoli F. (G) 18. Taylor D.
Coaches
Caldwell G.
Bruce S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 1)
4', 1 - 0, Cole R. ⚽, Wareham J. (A),
15', 2 - 0, Fitzwater J. ⚽, Cole R. (A),
22', 2 - 1, Fletcher A. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
59', 3 - 1, Wareham J. ⚽,
60', Ihiekwe M. 🟨,
61', Lyons A. ↓, Finnigan R. ↑,
62', Evans L. ↓, Bloxham T. ↑,
71', Doyle-Hayes J. ↓, Cox S. ↑,
74', Hansson E. ↓, Hamilton C. ↑,
74', Coulson H. ↓, Ebiowei M. ↑,
80', Cole R. ↓, McDonald K. ↑,
81', Wareham J. ↓, Magennis J. ↑,
83', McMillan J. 🟨,
86', Aitchison J. ↓, Dean T. ↑,
90', 4 - 1, Cox S. ⚽,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Exeter won 0.
Exeter is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
In recent matches, Blackpool has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Recently, Exeter has had a series of away games.
Blackpool is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
There will not play in Exeter: Borges P.
(Knee Injury)
There will not play in Blackpool: Bloxham T.
(Calf Injury)
Hamilton C.
(Shoulder Injury)
Honeyman G.
(Ankle Injury)
Husband J.
(Hamstring Injury)
Imray D.
(Knee Injury)
Morgan A.
(Thigh Injury)
There are questionable in Exeter: Magennis J.
(Hip Injury)
McMillan J.
(Injury)
Oluwabori A.
(Hip Injury)
Sweeney P.
(Injury)
Yfeko J.
(Thigh Injury)
In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Exeter won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 7:16. (average 0.9:2).
Including home matches between the teams, Exeter won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:8. (average 1.3:2).
Last Results with these Odds
Exeter City - the odds 3.2 are the expected chance of winning is 29.58%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.
Blackpool - the odds 2.22 are the expected chance of winning is 42.74%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.